Fed’s Jeffrey Schmid opposes further rate cuts, citing high inflation risks. Schmid advocates caution ahead of the October FOMC meeting.
Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid has expressed opposition to further rate cuts due to ongoing inflation concerns.
Schmid’s statement comes amid market expectations of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. While many are predicting this cut, Schmid believes inflation remains too high for the Fed to take further action in lowering rates.
His comments suggest that the central bank may lean toward caution when making policy decisions in the near future.
Schmid Stresses Caution in Reducing Rates Further
Schmid recently remarked that current monetary policy is slightly restrictive, but it’s appropriate given the economic situation. He emphasized that inflation is still too high, and further rate cuts could have negative consequences.
According to Schmid, the primary goal should be to reduce demand growth in the economy to help bring down inflation.
Schmid also explained that aggressively boosting demand through further rate cuts could risk fueling inflation. If demand grows too rapidly, prices could rise significantly, making inflation worse.
As a result, Schmid suggests that the Fed should be cautious and maintain a more restrictive monetary policy stance until inflation is under control.
A Focus on Inflation Over the Labor Market
In his remarks, Schmid indicated that the Fed might need to prioritize controlling inflation over stimulating the labor market. He pointed out that, at the September FOMC meeting, he voted in favor of a 25-basis-point rate cut as a “risk-management strategy.”
Schmid believed that the labor market had cooled enough to justify a modest cut without jeopardizing inflation control.
While Schmid acknowledged that policies aimed at supporting the labor market often lead to higher inflation, he stressed the importance of balancing these priorities. He suggested that a more aggressive approach to rate cuts could cause inflation to spiral, negatively affecting the economy.
Schmid’s position reflects the ongoing challenge the Fed faces in managing its dual mandate of promoting both stable prices and maximum employment.
Data-Dependent Approach Amid Government Shutdown
Schmid emphasized that any future decisions on rate cuts would depend on available data. However, the ongoing government shutdown has delayed the release of important economic data that the Fed typically uses to inform its decisions.
Despite this, Schmid noted that the Fed would continue to monitor alternative data sources to guide their policy moves.
Given the uncertainty caused by the delayed data, Schmid expressed hope that the government would soon release the necessary information. He also stated that the Fed would remain flexible, adjusting its policy as needed based on the available data.
Schmid’s cautious approach indicates that the central bank will continue to weigh all options carefully in light of the current inflationary environment.
As the next FOMC meeting approaches, there is a strong likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of this cut is at 94.6%.
#US News⭐⭐⭐
The probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in October has dropped to 94.6%On October 7, according to CME’s “FedWatch” data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 5.4%, while the probability of a 25 bps rate cut is… pic.twitter.com/b730LbvAnJ
— Crypto Insider, Scandal, News🇺🇸 (@CryptoWalletBNB) October 7, 2025
However, Schmid’s stance shows that the Fed may prioritize controlling inflation over stimulating the economy in the coming months. This shift could have broad effects on both traditional markets and the crypto market, which often responds to changes in monetary policy.