Crypto Market Rises as U.S. and Iran Reach Key Agreement On Nuclear Talks

The crypto market advanced on Saturday after new developments in the U.S.–Iran nuclear negotiations eased concerns over an extended geopolitical conflict. Reduced tension supported risk assets and lifted digital currencies after weeks of uncertainty tied to Middle East developments.

Crypto Market Reacts to US-Iran Diplomatic Progress

As of press time, Bitcoin price is changing hands at $68,340, which is 1.40% higher over the past day. The asset has stabilized in a higher trading range this week after swinging earlier. The broader crypto market also reflected reports of progress in diplomatic talks.

U.S. officials conceded to Iran’s position that enrichment would take place, according to a Bloomberg report. The semi-official Iranian Students’ News Agency (ISNA), based in Tehran, quoted an unnamed diplomat who was a participant in the discussions. Enrichment suspension was thrown out during recent discussions in Geneva, the diplomat said.

Instead, the talks have been concentrating on technical elements of Iran’s atomic program. These include the site, depth and quantity of uranium centrifuges. The diplomat also commented on suggestions to remove nuclear material from Iran altogether, saying such proposals are not being discussed at present.

The comments echoed remarks by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. He told MS Now that the United States has not asked for zero enrichment. He added that both sides are seeking a fast agreement.

American and Iranian officials held their second round of Oman-mediated talks in Geneva on Tuesday. The discussions unfolded as President Donald Trump pressed forward with increasing U.S. military resources in the Middle East. Earlier this week Trump said he is considering limited strike on Iran if an agreement is not reached by early next month.

Crypto market participants also responded to confirmation that the United States accepted Iran’s enrichment stance. In a post on X, analyst Ash Crypto described the development as a positive signal.

Market Sentiment and Bitcoin Price Outlook

Trading data from Polymarket provided the odds of conflict by February 28 as an 18% chance. The likelihood was 61% by March 31. The platform predicted 67% odds as of June 30 and 73% by Dec. 31.

Despite reports of diplomatic progress, crypto traders continue to price in the possibility of a strike by the end of March, according to prediction market data. The assigned probabilities indicate that geopolitical risk remains present in market expectations. The crypto market remains cautious, as any sudden escalation could trigger a crypto market crash and sharply pressure prices

However, Bitcoin is currently trapped between two significant liquidity zones, analyst Ted said in an X post. The analyst highlighted that bulls have been able to defend the zone of $65,000 while while bears are protecting the $69,000 range. Liquidity wise, Ted noted that a retest of $72,000 seems more probable. 

However, analyst CryptoNik presented a more cautious view. In an X post, he said it is alarming to see Bitcoin fall below $60,000. He warned that if a “respected president” were to launch military action over a weekend, the price could quickly decline toward $50,000.

The analyst added that such a move could benefit investors holding cash positions. CryptoNik also raised the question of how long crypo market typically takes to stabilize after steep corrections of that magnitude.