Large crypto holders have been moving tokens onto Binance, a pattern analysts associate with potential selling, but buying demand remains muted.
So-called crypto whales deposited $2.4 billion near-evenly split between Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) to Binance in the past week, the exchange’s largest net inflow in a month, but the “buying power is missing,” CryptoOnchain said in a note to CryptoQuant on Sunday.
“Crucially, this surge in risk-asset deposits was not accompanied by new buying power,” it added, noting that stablecoin net flows were “essentially flat” at an inflow of $42 million for the week, which was mostly tokens moving between the Ethereum and Tron blockchains.
CryptoOnchain said that large transfers of crypto from wallets to exchanges typically indicate either “preparation for selling or the use of these assets as collateral in derivatives markets.”
Bitcoin accumulation stalls
CryptoOnchain had said earlier on Sunday that it had found a “potentially bearish” signal, with the level of Bitcoin accumulation having stalled since October, while the average size of deposits to Binance had increased.
The average transaction size flowing onto Binance had jumped from around eight to 10 Bitcoin to up to 22 to 26 Bitcoin as whales transferred “substantial amounts” onto the platform, it added.
Meanwhile, outflows from the exchange have seen a “steep decline in the average size of withdrawal transactions,” with the Exchange Outflow Mean fluctuating between the “suppressed range” of 5.5 to 8.3 Bitcoin.
Related: No, whales are not accumulating massive amounts of Bitcoin: CryptoQuant
“In other words, large-scale accumulation and the movement of Bitcoin into cold storage by major holders have drastically decreased,” CryptoOnchain said.
It added that the metrics were a “clear warning signal” as it pointed to rising selling pressure and a “diminishing appetite for long-term holding among major players, which could act as a significant headwind for price appreciation in the short to medium term.”
Bitcoin has gained 1.3% in the past day, settling to $92,600 after hitting a 24-hour high of $93,170 as the market lull of the holiday period ends.
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