Can Upcoming Fed Rate Cuts Spark a Crypto Market Recovery?

• Crypto market declines as bearish sentiment drives sharp sell-off and liquidations.
• Powell hints at rate cuts to prevent job market cooling excessively.

The cryptocurrency market has been under bearish pressure, with bearish sentiment driving a 5.58% decline in overall market capitalization. Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, dropped to an eight-day low of $58,034, marking a 5% decline. Ethereum also faced a sharp downturn, briefly falling to a 20-day low of $2,481. 

Amid this turmoil, QCP Broadcast observed that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at the Jackson Hole symposium were notably dovish. Powell indicated that the “time has come” to lower interest rates to prevent the job market from cooling excessively. This sentiment is further underscored by last week’s significant job revision of -800,000, increasing the likelihood of the Fed prioritizing the prevention of a job market collapse. According to QCP, the threshold for a 50 basis point rate cut in September is now considerably lower.

Can Market Recover?

The market is currently pricing in four rate cuts for 2024, despite only three meetings remaining. Meanwhile, US equity markets have shown resilience, nearing all-time highs. However, QCP Broadcast remains cautious, suggesting that equities might peak again due to declining trading volumes and the upcoming earnings report from Nvidia (NVDA). NVDA options are pricing in up to a 10% move higher.

Despite the current downturn, the belief persists that any dip in equities and crypto will be short-lived. With Powell and the Fed poised to initiate a rate-cutting cycle, increased liquidity is expected to drive risk assets higher, potentially providing a much-needed boost to both equities and cryptocurrencies in the near future.

Also, it is to be worth noting that $110 million was liquidated from the market in recent hours. It highlights the severity of the sell-off.

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