In a new analytical breakthrough, crypto commentator Miles Deutscher has unveiled the Altcoin Rally Score (ARS)—an AI-powered model designed to forecast the arrival of altcoin season based on historical market patterns and current on-chain metrics.
Deutscher built the ARS by studying past bull cycles and incorporating four critical indicators that historically precede major altcoin rallies. According to his model, a new altcoin season will require the following conditions:
- Bitcoin Dominance Breakdown: BTC dominance must fall below 60%, with a 4-point decline over 21 days to signal capital rotation.
- Ethereum Leadership: ETH/BTC must break above the 200-day moving average and reach a new 90-day high, indicating ETH-led market momentum.
- Altcoin Seasonal Index Surge: The proprietary index must rise above 40 and climb for two consecutive weeks, reflecting broad-based altcoin participation.
- Retail and Trend Metrics: Market sentiment, trend momentum, and stablecoin liquidity must show clear bullish signals.
Deutscher anticipates that the coming altseason—what he dubs Altseason 3.0—will be shorter and more sector-specific than its predecessors. He attributes this to two primary factors: a global liquidity crunch and a greater supply of new altcoins than in previous cycles, making selective investment even more critical.
His model doesn’t guarantee timing, but it offers a data-driven framework for navigating the next phase of the market. If ARS signals align, altcoin investors could be looking at a renewed—if more selective—cycle of outsized gains.
Kosta Gushterov
Reporter at Coindoo
Kosta has been a part of the team since 2021 and has solidified his position with a thirst for knowledge, incredible dedication to his work and a “detective-like” mindset. He not only covers a wide range of trending topics, he also creates reviews, PR articles and educational content. His work has also been referenced by other news outlets.
Source: https://coindoo.com/altcoin-rally-score-model-revealed-conditions-for-altseason-3-0/