Bitcoin (BTC) is once again showing signs of strong upward movement, backed by historical technical patterns, institutional developments, and momentum shifts. As Bitcoin price approaches key resistance near $100,000, traders and analysts are closely watching for a breakout
It could pave the way toward the $125,000–$150,000 range by September 2025. Historical indicators suggest a parabolic rally may be forming.
Parabolic Trend Could Signal a Major Move Toward $150K
The Bitcoin price action is currently reflecting one of its most reliable bullish signals. After breaking out from a falling wedge pattern, BTC has regained strength. Such breakouts have often led to significant price increases.
Chart analyst Peter Brandt commented, “If Bitcoin can regain the broken parabolic slope, then BTC is on target to reach the bull market cycle top in the $125K to $150K level by Aug/Sep 2025”.
This analysis aligns with the broader market structure, as Bitcoin continues to post higher lows and higher highs on the weekly chart.
The 8-week moving average has also moved above the 18-week moving average, signaling strong upward momentum. Such trends are reminiscent of previous market cycles that resulted in parabolic rallies.
Bitcoin Price Break Above $108K May Trigger Fast Price Surge
Bitcoin price currently faces resistance around $108,000. Some analysts believe that crossing this level could lead to a quick rally toward the $125,000–$150,000 zone.
A market commentator noted, The road from 108K to 200K will be very fast and no major pullbacks. The first condition: break 108K.
When writing, the asset fell to $94,299.88 after climbing to $97,000 earlier this week, which was a rebound nearly 30% from its April low. This surge followed a double-bottom pattern that began at the $76,560 support level.
At the time of writing, the coin had lost 1.76% in value in the last 24 hours, it trading volume being over 25% in the same time-frame.
A breakout above the neckline at $88,830 confirmed the pattern. Further gains took place when the price moved past a short-term bullish flag.
Investor sentiment is also improving. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index was neutral at 49%, showing a balanced risk appetite.
U.S. equity markets have been rising as well, with the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 gaining more than 350 points. Bitcoin price also avoided a death cross in April, which in past cycles has preceded large rallies.
Morgan Stanley’s Crypto Move May Fuel New Institutional Demand
Amid the Bitcoin price rally, Morgan Stanley, which manages over $1.5 trillion in client assets, is planning to launch crypto trading for retail users through its E-Trade platform. This marks the bank’s most direct move into retail crypto markets.
The planned service will allow customers to buy and sell Bitcoin and other digital assets through existing brokerage accounts. According to Bloomberg, the initiative is still in early stages but could launch next year.
Morgan Stanley is evaluating partnerships to build the trading infrastructure. This expansion aligns with broader interest from traditional finance firms, including Charles Schwab and SoFi, which are also exploring direct crypto trading offerings.
If successful, Morgan Stanley’s platform could introduce millions of retail investors to Bitcoin. This development could also increase demand for regulated digital asset access, especially as spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract large inflows.
The timing comes as Bitcoin is trading just below $100,000. It could act as a trigger for broader adoption.
Bitcoin Price Technical Patterns Match Past Bull Markets
Bitcoin price is still in an uptrend that has been present since 2023, forming an ascending channel. It is trading above the midline of the channel pattern.
That indicates further resistance is likely to remain intact. Volume activity is also a bit more consistent, rising particularly in short-term setbacks.
Traders are also intently observing the MVRV ratio as it approaches the 1-year simple moving average. This indicator has indeed provided accurate cues for a major rally in the past.
However, the RSI is increasing gradually, but above the oversold signal line. That means the market has more room to go up.
According to the analysts, if Bitcoin price breaks the $100,000 level with good volume, it could begin the higher move fairly soon.
With increasing institutions’ interest and historical price trends, the current setup may help BTC surge to $150,000 by September next year. It has to recapture the parabolic trend to make that happen.
Source: https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2025/05/04/will-bitcoin-price-hit-150k-by-q4-2025-if-parabolic-trend-recovers/