Whose Bitcoin Forecast Will Be More Accurate — the Battle of ChatGPT and DeepSeek

The Coinpaper editorial team decided to conduct an experiment that will help us understand which AI model is better for crypto investors. For this purpose, we will clash ChatGPT and DeepSeek in a battle of predictions. We will determine the result of the experiment in exactly seven days, on Thursday, February 13, 2025.

Details of the experiment

Our task is to find out whose cryptocurrency forecasts will be more accurate. To do this, we will take a bitcoin chart and collect information about the market situation. We will feed this set to each model in turn and ask it to give a weekly forecast. After exactly seven days, we will compare the results. The winner will be the AI chatbot that manages to give the correct forecast.

Preparation

First, we need to gather information about what is happening on the cryptocurrency market and what events of the next few days are worth paying attention to. To form a complete picture, we “fed” each AI the same set of information, which included:

• nuances of Trump’s policies, including data on the actions and initiatives of members of his administration;
• an economic digest with analysts’ forecasts on the Fed’s actions;
• a digest on geopolitics;
• popular analysts’ opinions on the prospects for cryptocurrency;
• data on bitcoin’s position in the cycle after another halving.

We also provided the AI bots with identical daily charts of bitcoin and set a task. Each AI model was asked to analyze the information and give a weekly forecast for BTC.

AI models Responses

ChatGPT (o1)

Chatbot has highlighted a few key factors that could affect bitcoin’s movement:

• Trump’s unleashed trade war.
• Financial market instability.
• Progress in crypto industry regulation.
• Reduced pressure from the SEC.

These are the points of techanalysis highlighted by ChatGPT:

• Daily chart. The chart shows that the bitcoin price has stabilized around $97,000. Despite the short-term decline, current support levels between $95,000-97,500 could be key for short-term stabilization.
• Previous cycles. According to historical data, at this stage (February 2025) bitcoin could be in a correction phase or even preparing for the next growth momentum, especially if demand for the cryptocurrency continues to increase.

Forecast for the week (February 6-13, 2025):

• Correction and consolidation. Based on current technical and economic factors, we can expect a slight correction or continued sideways movement in the $95,000-100,000 range during the first half of the week (February 6-9). This could be triggered by new economic news including tariff threats or regulatory news.
• Probability of growth after stabilization. If the market continues to recover from short-term declines and trading volumes remain high, we can expect bitcoin prices to rise from February 10 until February 13. The positive movement will be supported by expectations of improved crypto regulation and increased liquidity due to positive news about stablecoins and other initiatives.

Bitcoin’s target for February 13 may fluctuate between $100,000-105,000 if the market maintains positive sentiment and external risks do not lead to new fluctuations.

Conclusion:

In the short term (February 6-13), bitcoin could continue to correct with small fluctuations between $95,000-100,000, but with the potential to rise later in the week if the external economic situation stabilizes and cryptocurrency legislation gains support. It is important to keep an eye on changes in the news, especially related to trade wars, tariffs and cryptocurrency regulations.

DeepSeek (V3)

The chatbot primarily focused on the tensions between the US, China, Mexico and Canada. The growing conflict, in his opinion, could be a painful blow for the crypto. At the same time, US regulatory initiatives, including the study of the possibility of creating a bitcoin reserve in the country, according to the bots, may support market growth in the future.

Technical Analysis

1. Current bitcoin levels:

Bitcoin is currently consolidating in the $95,000-98,000 range, indicating indecision in the market. A possible test of support at $95,000 early in the week could lead to a slight decline, but for now the price remains within these limits.

2. Potential for growth:

If the external backdrop remains stable, the bitcoin price could start to recover, with a break of the $100,000 level providing an opportunity to move further towards $103,000. Positive news flows about regulation and cryptocurrency assets could support this trend.

The AI models forecast for the week has been divided into 3 scenarios:

Negative scenario:

Should global economic conditions deteriorate or new threats to the markets emerge, bitcoin could see a correction into the $92,000-95,000 range early in the week due to broader risks in the financial markets.

Positive scenario:

Should trade wars stabilize and confidence in cryptocurrencies strengthen (including on the back of news of stablecoin regulation), bitcoin has a chance to strengthen and continue rising, reaching the $100,000-103,000 mark.

Best-case scenario:

If the crypto market continues to adapt to the new conditions and starts showing more stable dynamics, bitcoin could reach new heights, approaching the $105,000-107,000 level by February 13.

Bottom line:

February 6-9: A slight decline or consolidation within $92,000-97,000 is likely.

February 10-13: In the absence of new shocks, we can expect a slow rise towards the $100,000-105,000 levels.

DeepSeek: Keep an eye on the economic situation and crypto regulation to make more informed decisions in a volatile market.

Forecast Comparison

Both AI models gave similar predictions, but DeepSeek, unlike ChatGPT, allows bitcoin to rise to higher levels within a week. We will tell you whose forecast will be more accurate on February 13.