very broad forecasts for Bitcoin

DeepSeek, the famous Chinese AI chatbot, has made some Bitcoin price predictions, suggesting very optimistic, yet not impossible, targets. 

Bitcoin (BTC): DeepSeek forecast for 2025

Regarding the current 2025, the forecasts provided by DeepSeek on Bitcoin are decidedly positive. 

For example, when asked about the possible annual peak, he provides four specific figures. It is noteworthy that all four are significantly higher than the current maximum of $124,000 recorded last month. 

The first prediction mentioned by DeepSeek is the one that emerges from estimates defined as “mainstream” and “conservative”. 

According to this forecast, the price of Bitcoin during the remaining months of 2025 could reach and exceed $150,000.

It should be noted that this is a figure that indeed circulates widely, not only among industry insiders, but calling it “conservative” seems a bit bold. 

In fact, nothing really completely excludes the possibility that the bull run may have already ended, or that the peak may only be slightly updated in the coming weeks. 

DeepSeek indeed specifies that to achieve these results, a continuous, robust influx of institutional capital is assumed without major negative events.

However, there is evidently a certain consensus around this figure. 

The second prediction mentioned is from the bank Standard Chartered, according to which it would be possible to reach even $200,000 by the end of the year. 

It must be said that indeed Standard Chartered is not the only one making this hypothesis, which however should already be considered optimistic as of today. 

The third prediction by DeepSeek for Bitcoin’s peak in 2025 is $250,000, which, in the event of a speculative bubble, is actually not much higher than the previous one. 

DeepSeek, however, also mentions a fourth prediction, much more optimistic, derived from estimates defined as “extreme” based on the concept of a super-cycle. It turns out that some very bull analysts hypothesize a Bitcoin super-cycle driven by mass adoption, which could theoretically push the price of BTC even towards $500,000. DeepSeek, however, warns that in this case, it is speculation not based on traditional financial models.

The forecasts for 2026

When asked about 2026, DeepSeek hedges its bets, stating that making predictions is even more difficult compared to 2025. 

Indeed, some ideas about 2025 can be formed by analyzing the trend already in place, but for next year it is not at all certain that the trend will continue.

However, it states that, according to the historical cycles of Bitcoin, the most likely scenario for 2026 is that of a correction year. 

This is also the most widespread opinion online, so much so that DeepSeek most likely deduced it precisely from the analysis of the various opinions circulating online. 

The chatbot cites the historical drawdown from the highs of previous post-bullrun years, historically ranging between -70% and -85% from the highs.

At this point, a concrete example is given, stating that in the event of a peak at $200,000 in 2025, one might expect, for example, a drawdown of -80% in 2026, which would bring the price to a low of $40,000. If instead the 2025 peak were more moderate, for example $150,000, with a drawdown of -80%, the minimum peak would be $30,000.

However, this is not the most widespread opinion online. 

In other words, although it is true that there have been similar drawdowns in the past, the last one that occurred (in 2022) was actually lower. 

So assuming instead a -70% from the highs, you would get a figure of $60,000 in case of a peak at $200,000, and $45,000 in case of a peak at $150,000. 

According to DeepSeek, a historically very strong fundamental support is the mining cost for miners of 1 BTC. At this point, it estimates that the mining cost for 2026 could settle in a range between $30,000 and $40,000, which could act as a powerful magnet in case of a deep correction. Finally, it states that this zone has also become, in recent years, a very important institutional accumulation area, and therefore would become an extremely strong technical and psychological support.

The next halving

DeepSeek also claims that, after the next Bitcoin halving which is expected to occur in 2028, there might be a new bull run. 

In fact, it says that the idea that a halving can trigger a subsequent bull run is one of the fundamental pillars of the investment narrative on Bitcoin, and it is supported by historical data, as well as by a simple basic economic theory.

He adds that, if the past pattern were to repeat, the 2028 halving would be the catalyst for a peak in the next cycle, which would then begin to develop starting from 2028/2029.

In this case, however, he does not venture price predictions, stating that they would only be pure analytical speculations, mentioning only two figures, namely the $500,000 already cited as an extremely optimistic forecast for 2025, and the famous one million dollars.