TeraWulf Missed Q4 Earnings: BTC Decline and HPC Transformation

TeraWulf (WULF) missed its Q4 2025 earnings estimates. Due to the sharp drop in Bitcoin prices, mining revenue declined, reporting a 1,66 dollar loss per share; this was significantly worse than the analyst expectation of a 0,16 dollar loss. Quarterly revenue fell to 35,8 million dollars (expectation 44,1 million dollars), of which 26,1 million from digital assets and 9,7 million from high-performance computing (HPC). Full-year revenue rose from 140,1 million dollars in 2024 to 168,5 million dollars.


Source: TeraWulf

TeraWulf’s Q4 2025 Financial Table

The company’s Q4 performance remained weak due to the dominant impact of BTC mining. The table below summarizes the key metrics:

MetricActualExpectation
Loss Per Share (EPS)-1,66 USD-0,16 USD
Quarterly Revenue35,8 M USD44,1 M USD
Digital Asset Revenue26,1 M USD
HPC Revenue9,7 M USD

Impact of Bitcoin Price Drop on Mining Costs

Bitcoin price fell from 125.000 dollars in October 2025 to 60.000 dollars in February 2026; currently at 67.993 USD level (%-0,28 24h change). TeraWulf’s mining cost exceeded 87.310 USD, eroding profitability. BTC PERP contract rose %8,40 from the 62.401 USD low, turning the weekly candle positive, but the overall downtrend continues (RSI 42,76, Supertrend bearish).

TeraWulf’s 2026 Vision with HPC and AI Contracts

The company targets 12,8 billion dollars in signed AI/HPC contracts for 2026. CEO Paul Prager said, “We are entering 2026 with 522 MW contracted HPC capacity and a 2,9 GW platform.” This is a strategic pivot reducing mining dependency.

Capacity Expansion: New Sites and Gigawatt Target

Capacity will increase by 1,5 GW with Kentucky (MISO) and Maryland (PJM) sites, reaching a total of 2,8 GW. This expansion will strengthen integrated HPC operations with BTC detailed analysis.

BTC Technical Levels and Miner Risk

EMA 20: 69.082 USD. Strong supports:

  • S1: 67.808 USD (72/100 ⭐, -0,22% distance)
  • S2: 64.323 USD (69/100 ⭐, -5,35%)

Resistances:

  • R1: 68.882 USD (82/100 ⭐, +1,36%)
  • R2: 78.917 USD (67/100 ⭐, +16,13%)

If S1 breaks, additional pressure increases for miners. BTC futures should be monitored.

Miners’ Transformation to AI/HPC and Sector Examples

GD Culture Group (GDC) is using its 7.500 BTC reserves for share buybacks, while companies like TeraWulf are shifting to HPC. This trend provides protection against BTC volatility.

Crypto Research Analyst: Michael Roberts

Blockchain technology and DeFi focused

This analysis is not investment advice. Do your own research.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/terawulf-missed-q4-earnings-btc-decline-and-hpc-transformation