At the current FOMC meeting, smart money eyes Bitcoin’s next move. Could a surprise rate cut trigger a crypto rally? Here’s why Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) might be the biggest winner.
The Federal Open Market Committee meetings – held 8 times a year – aren’t a common topic at the dinner table. But they could be among the most important events of the year.
The Fed is meeting again today and tomorrow. The big question? Will they decide to cut the base interest rate? Most odds are against it, so what does that mean for crypto and Bitcoin?
Bitcoin remains in a holding pattern after its recent surge. US President Donald Trump is in Europe, threatening and promising tariffs with his usual bluster. The total crypto market cap is just below $4 trillion.
It all leads to a meeting with high stakes. Here’s why.
The July 29–30 Fed Meeting Could Matter More to Bitcoin Than One Thinks
As Fed watchers prepare for the Fed’s policy decision, most expect interest rates to stay steady at 4.25% to 4.50%. Futures markets assign a 97% chance that rates won’t be cut this month, with investors looking toward possible easing in September depending on inflation, jobs, and growth data.
Inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% Core PCE target (with CPI near 2.7-2.9%, official Fed data from May showing 2.3%), partly driven by tariffs, while the labor market stays tight. Hiring has slowed slightly, and unemployment is around 4.1% (as of June).
Amid rising price pressures and slower GDP growth forecasts (1.5% in 2025), Fed Chair Jerome Powell and most FOMC members have taken a cautious, data-driven approach.
However, dissident voices—most notably Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman—have advocated for a 25-basis-point cut this month, citing early signs of labor market softness and manageable inflation risk.
Their minority position would be easier to dismiss if it weren’t for the fact that Donald Trump has consistently advocated for additional rate cuts to stimulate the economy and has publicly blamed Jerome Powell for obstructing progress. He brought up the issue again as recently as Monday during a meeting with British PM Keir Starmer.
With the rate cut, it would be better. It affects our housing a little bit. Look, we should be 3 points lower.
—Donald Trump, Interview with Keir Starmer
It’s worth noting that Christopher Waller, a Trump appointee, is rumored to be a potential replacement for Jerome Powell if Trump follows through on his threat to fire the current Fed chair.
But despite the political pressure, most economists expect the Fed to stay on hold – at least for this meeting.
What This Means for Bitcoin
Historically, Bitcoin is more responsive to global liquidity conditions than to rate changes alone. Liquidity increases through rate cuts or easing usually happen before crypto bull cycles; periods of liquidity tightening often align with BTC corrections.
A 97% chance of no cuts isn’t a 100% certainty – if the Fed decided to go against accepted wisdom and follow Trump’s wishes, it could lead to an influx of liquidity.
If it did, that would fuel Bitcoin’s fire. But the impact on BTC usually isn’t immediate; it often takes two to three months.
And in this case, capital inflows into crypto are already accelerating in 2025. July saw a month-to-date record of $11.2B inflows into digital asset funds. Ethereum was the standout, supported by Solana and XRP.
Bitcoin experienced minor outflows in July, so there’s always some uncertainty. However, as institutions increasingly adopt crypto, any rate cut would probably speed up the flow.
The conservative case for holding rates at their current level hinges on a desire to avoid inflation, adding too much liquidity too quickly.
But in the crypto world, increasing demand for stablecoins might cause a decrease in demand for dollars as more dollar-pegged stablecoins enter the market and existing ones expand their use cases, such as PayPal’s recent support for crypto payments, which relies on its own $PYUSD stablecoin.
Markets haven’t priced in an unexpected rate cut, so a surprise move could fuel a broad risk rally and cause a sharp $BTC inflow and increased volatility. If the Fed chooses to cut rates at its next September meeting—perhaps more gradually—$BTC might respond with delayed but significant gains.
That would set up Bitcoin-related projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) for major late-year moves.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – Fastest Bitcoin Layer-2 Ready to Launch
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) offers fast, affordable $BTC transactions supported by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM). With a canonical bridge and the SVM, users can deploy Bitcoin on Bitcoin Hyper Layer 2 to access DeFi, staking, and even dApps.
All the benefits of crypto’s growth over the past 15 years are now accessible through the original token that started it all.
No more swapping Bitcoin for Ether to use dApps, and no more complex staking processes. Additionally, the Bitcoin Hyper Layer 2 employs a native $HYPER token for its own staking and transaction validation.
A broader enthusiasm for Bitcoin’s potential has raised $5.6M in the $HYPER presale so far. Tokens are priced at $0.01245, making it the best time to buy.
Visit the Bitcoin Hyper presale page today
Will Fed Rate Cuts Send Bitcoin to a New All-Time-High?
The likelihood of a rate cut at this meeting is low, but that could shift quickly. When rate cuts happen, Bitcoin could gain from higher liquidity.
Even without a rate cut, Powell’s tone and updated Fed economic projections might signal the Fed’s willingness to pivot later this year. That narrative alone could influence Bitcoin’s liquidity trajectory.
As always, do your own research. This isn’t financial advice.
Source: https://bravenewcoin.com/sponsored/presale/smart-money-bets-on-bitcoin-crypto-next-fomc-meeting