Key Takeaways:
- There is a rising groundswell around Bitcoin: Deutsche Bank predicts that BTC could be added to central bank reserves by 2030.
- Bitcoin has gained safe-haven status in mainstream media, and with analysts likening it to gold.
- At the same time, ECB President Christine Lagarde continues to deny Bitcoin’s value.
The European Central Bank seems determined to keep its fingers in its ears about Bitcoin. ECB President Christine Lagarde insists that Bitcoin has “no intrinsic value,” even as German TradFi stalwart Deutsche Bank touts BTC as “the future” of global reserve assets. In a recent report, the bank predicted that Bitcoin would be sitting on central bank balance sheets by 2030.
Deutsche Bank: Bitcoin’s Reserve Destiny
According to Deutsche Bank’s latest research, if Bitcoin’s current trajectory continues (falling volatility, rising adoption, deepening liquidity), it’s not just possible but likely that the world’s largest central banks will be allocating to BTC by the end of this decade.
The bank’s analysts highlighted how Bitcoin’s volatility, once the go-to argument for dismissing its safe haven credentials, has compressed to levels not far from gold.
And it’s not just financial theorizing: Deutsche’s parallels to gold aren’t merely decorative. Gold blasted past $4,000/oz this year, up nearly 50% YTD. With global geopolitical tension at fever pitch, more and more institutions and even governments are looking for real alternatives to the US dollar.
The analysts reported Bitcoin’s record-breaking year in 2025, stating new highs in both price and institutional inflows. They described BTC as an “emerging status as a potential macro hedge.” As with gold in the last century, they point out, the more Bitcoin gets integrated into treasury and reserve portfolios, the more it takes on that role.
The Safe Haven Debate Shifts
It’s not just analysts and crypto natives beating the “digital gold” drum anymore. Mainstream financial publications and networks, from Fortune to CNBC, are now openly discussing Bitcoin’s status as a safe haven.
In the middle of a US government shutdown, Bitcoin has repeatedly broken its all-time highs, attracting capital that would once have gone straight to bullion or US Treasuries. Data in the Deutsche report highlights Bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility dropping to 23% at the same time as spot prices set records. This shows how much BTC is maturing as an asset.
More than 200 public companies now hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets, echoing the “Bitcoin treasuries” model that Deutsche sees as a stepping stone to official reserve adoption.
Gold and Bitcoin, the report says, are now coexisting as complementary reserve assets rather than competitors. This is potentially reshaping how governments protect against inflation and currency volatility.
ECB Is Woefully Out of Touch
Cue ECB President Christine Lagarde, who responded this week to the growing Bitcoin-as-reserve narrative with the same line she’s held for years. Bitcoin has “no intrinsic value.” She unequivocally stated that Bitcoin could never be a form of digital gold as it has no underlying value.
Meanwhile, speaking of value, the euro itself has lost more than 40% of its purchasing power since 2002. In fact, gold overtook the euro as the second-largest reserve asset in June 2025.
Deutsche’s analysts pointed out that weakening fiat currencies globally are driving institutions and even central banks to rethink their resistance to assets with a credibly fixed supply.
The Numbers Don’t Lie
Even if Lagarde refuses to listen to the growing chorus of investors, institutions, analysts, and economists who are pouring into Bitcoin, the numbers don’t lie. Bitcoin has surpassed $125,000 in 2025 so far with volatility near all-time lows. Gold has shot over $4,000 an ounce. And the euro’s purchasing power has crumbled.
Deutsche Bank isn’t suggesting that Bitcoin will replace the dollar as the main world reserve. But it does see a future where central banks, to hedge macro risk, quietly accumulate BTC alongside gold, especially if regulatory frameworks mature and liquidity deepens further.
Is the ECB simply clinging to a script as the music changes? With the world’s biggest banks openly discussing Bitcoin as a future reserve holding and the market treating it like a financial safe harbor, the European Central Bank’s pronouncements feel increasingly disconnected. As entrepreneur and Bitcoiner, Daniel Sempere Pico aptly pointed out:
“It’s difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on not understanding it.”
Yet, in financial history, every new safe haven has been met with skepticism, until it wasn’t. If Deutsche Bank’s analysts have called it right, the real surprise won’t be if central banks hold Bitcoin by 2030; it will be that it took them so long to catch up.