What is a reasonable Bitcoin price prediction by the end of 2025? Q3 2025 is almost a wrap and this means only three months are remaining, but the current market sentiment is that the current bullish cycle was far from over.
You have probably encountered numerous Bitcoin predictions, especially the ambitious ones calling for a $1 million BTC price.
However, such a price tag is unlikely within three months. But just how far can Bitcoin (BTC USD) price rally within the next three months?
According to Mike Novogratz, the CEO of Galaxy Digital, BTC price could rally as high as $200,000 in Q4 2025.
Novogratz argued that this could be the most bullish outcome and that it would require a major catalyst, such as a change in the Federal Reserve’s leadership.
Novogratz also warned that although a dovish FED chair would implement steep rate cuts, it would also be a potentially risky outcome for the U.S.
Eric Trump Predicts that Q4 Could be Very Bullish for Price of Bitcoin
Novogratz was not the only one leaning towards Bullish Bitcoin news in Q4 2025. Eric Trump revealed in a recent interview that he had high expectations for Q4.
Although he did not give an exact Bitcoin price prediction for Q4 2024, he expressed confidence in its potential to soar above $1 million. Eric Trump noted that Q4 has historically yielded healthy crypto price action.
He noted that crypto prices were likely to rally in Q4 especially as quantitative easing kicks off. Eric Trump’s statement demonstrated similar expectations for the market compared to Novogratz.
But just how far could Bitcoin rally in Q4 if the market enters an aggressive bullish phase? A look at past quarterly performance may offer insights into reasonable Bitcoin USD performance.
A Look at Bitcoin Price Action in Q3 and Assessing Probable Outcomes in Q4
Bitcoin news have been less exciting recently and this was reflected on its price action. For instance, BTC as only up by just over 2% so far in Q3.
However, this was mostly because shifting market sentiment triggered a significant pullback in August and September.
While its performance in Q3 was rather subdued, best quarterly performances may offer insights into reasonable Q4 Bitcoin price prediction.
For context, Bitcoin (BTC USD) best Q4 performance was in 2013 when it rallied by about 479%. It also rallied by about 220% in Q4 2017, and 168% in Q4 2020.
A $200,000 Bitcoin price tag would be slightly below 100% from its current price level, which means it is quite achievable based on historic performance.
While the data suggests that a $200,000 Bitcoin price prediction was plausible, Polymarket predicted a 5% chance of it soaring that high.
It was also worth looking at the factors influencing potential outcomes. Among those factors include geopolitics which have recently taken an elevated stance.
A cool down in tensions in the Middle-East and the tariffs situation may boost investor confidence. Moreover, liquidity injection in the market may trigger economic shifts.
How the market will react to those shifts will determine whether more rate cuts will take place or whether the FED will have to re-adjust through quantitative tightening.
In summary, Bitcoin (BTC USD) price could soon turn positive and if this happens, history may end up repeating.
An explosive Q4 performance could be on the cards for Bitcoin price action based on its historic performance.
However, the extent of the anticipated rally was still a toss-up considering the many factors that could come into play.