Ted Hisokawa
Nov 19, 2025 14:51
Bitcoin’s oversold RSI at 29.36 signals potential bounce toward $96,900-$103,000 range as BTC holds above crucial $90,000 support level through November 2025.
Bitcoin continues to trade in a volatile range as market participants weigh conflicting signals from technical indicators and analyst forecasts. With the cryptocurrency currently positioned at $91,745, the BTC price prediction landscape presents both compelling bullish opportunities and significant downside risks that traders must carefully navigate.
BTC Price Prediction Summary
• BTC short-term target (1 week): $96,900-$103,000 (+5.6% to +12.3%)
• Bitcoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $73,000-$110,000 range depending on support holds
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $99,644 (five-wave confirmation level)
• Critical support if bearish: $89,270 weekly low, then $73,000-$75,000
Recent Bitcoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The analytical community remains sharply divided on Bitcoin’s immediate trajectory, creating an intriguing backdrop for our BTC price prediction analysis. JR Kripto presents one of the more optimistic Bitcoin forecast scenarios, targeting $96,900 to $103,000 based on Bitcoin’s pullback into the 0.618-0.66 Fibonacci demand zone. This prediction aligns with current oversold conditions, as the RSI at 29.36 suggests selling pressure may be exhausting.
Contrasting this bullish Bitcoin forecast, Gareth Soloway maintains a high-confidence bearish outlook with a BTC price target of $73,000-$75,000. His analysis hinges on a critical October 2023 trendline break, representing a 20% downside from current levels. This divergence in professional opinion underscores the importance of monitoring key technical levels for directional confirmation.
More Crypto Online provides additional context for our BTC price prediction framework, identifying $90,571 as a critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Their analysis suggests no meaningful low confirmation until Bitcoin breaks above $99,644 in a five-wave pattern, creating a clear technical roadmap for trend validation.
BTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Reversal
Current technical indicators paint a picture of oversold conditions that typically precede significant Bitcoin price movements. The RSI reading of 29.36 represents the most oversold condition Bitcoin has experienced in recent months, historically a precursor to bounce attempts in our Bitcoin technical analysis framework.
The MACD histogram at -906.31 confirms bearish momentum remains intact, but the extreme oversold RSI suggests this momentum may be approaching exhaustion. Bitcoin’s position at 0.0915 on the Bollinger Bands scale places it near the lower band support at $89,609, a level that has historically provided technical bounce opportunities.
Volume analysis reveals mixed signals, with 24-hour trading volume of $2.22 billion on Binance representing moderate but not exceptional interest. For our BTC price prediction to materialize on the upside, we need to see volume expansion above the 50-day average to confirm institutional buying interest at these levels.
Bitcoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BTC
The optimistic Bitcoin forecast scenario targets the $96,900-$103,000 range based on several technical confluences. First, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level aligns with previous demand zones where institutional buyers have historically entered positions. Our BTC price target of $97,500 represents the initial resistance level, with $100,500 and $104,000 serving as extended targets if momentum builds.
For this bullish BTC price prediction to unfold, Bitcoin must hold above $91,100 as identified by JR Kripto’s analysis. A decisive close above $94,700 would invalidate the head-and-shoulders pattern concerns raised by OPTICALARTdotCOM, potentially triggering algorithmic buying that could propel Bitcoin toward our upper price targets.
The path to $110,000 by month-end, as suggested by Coinpedia, requires a 15% rally from current levels. While ambitious, this Bitcoin forecast aligns with historical November performance patterns and the potential for year-end institutional rebalancing flows.
Bearish Risk for Bitcoin
The bearish scenario for our BTC price prediction centers on the breakdown of critical support levels. LinixBit’s analysis identifies $89,270 as the immediate downside target if Bitcoin fails to hold current support. A clean break below this level could trigger extended selling toward More Crypto Online’s $90,571 target.
The most concerning element of our Bitcoin technical analysis involves Gareth Soloway’s high-confidence prediction of $73,000-$75,000. This represents a potential 20% decline from current levels and would occur if Bitcoin breaks below the October 2023 trendline. Such a move would likely trigger significant liquidations and test the resolve of long-term holders.
Risk factors to monitor include broader market sentiment, regulatory developments, and institutional flow patterns that could exacerbate any technical breakdown.
Should You Buy BTC Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our comprehensive BTC price prediction analysis, the current risk-reward profile presents mixed signals that require a nuanced approach. For traders considering whether to buy or sell BTC, the oversold RSI condition suggests potential for a technical bounce, but the bearish MACD momentum warns against aggressive positioning.
Optimal entry strategy involves scaled purchases with initial positions at current levels around $91,745, additional buying at $89,270 if that support is tested, and final allocation at $87,000-$88,000 if extreme bearish scenarios unfold. This approach allows participation in any bounce toward our $96,900-$103,000 Bitcoin forecast targets while managing downside risk.
Stop-loss levels should be placed below $85,000 to limit exposure to the catastrophic $73,000-$75,000 scenario. Position sizing should remain conservative given the elevated volatility environment, with maximum exposure limited to 2-3% of portfolio value for most investors.
BTC Price Prediction Conclusion
Our analysis suggests a medium-confidence BTC price prediction targeting $96,900-$103,000 over the next 7-14 days, contingent on Bitcoin holding above $89,270 support. The extreme oversold RSI condition at 29.36 provides the primary technical justification for this Bitcoin forecast, while the 0.618 Fibonacci level offers additional support for a meaningful bounce attempt.
Key indicators to monitor for prediction validation include RSI moving above 35 for initial confirmation, MACD histogram showing less negative momentum, and volume expansion above 50-day averages. Invalidation signals include a decisive break below $89,270 with high volume, which could activate the bearish $73,000-$75,000 scenario.
The timeline for this BTC price prediction extends through early December, with initial signs of directional resolution expected within 5-7 trading days. Given the divided analytical community and mixed technical signals, maintaining flexible positioning with clear risk parameters remains the optimal strategy for navigating Bitcoin’s current price action.
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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20251119-price-prediction-btc-bitcoin-eyes-96900-103000-rebound-after