Darius Baruo
Nov 17, 2025 04:27
Bitcoin forecast shows potential recovery to $105,000-$115,000 range by December 2025, but must hold critical $93,000 support level amid bearish momentum signals.
Bitcoin has entered a critical phase as technical indicators present mixed signals for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. With the current price at $95,376, our comprehensive Bitcoin technical analysis reveals both opportunities and risks ahead.
BTC Price Prediction Summary
• BTC short-term target (1 week): $98,500-$102,000 (+3-7%)
• Bitcoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $105,000-$115,000 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $99,600 (EMA 12)
• Critical support if bearish: $93,005 (immediate support level)
Recent Bitcoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest BTC price prediction consensus from leading analysts shows remarkable optimism despite current market weakness. Changelly’s forecast targets $131,042 by mid-November, while Blockchain.News maintains a $138,000 BTC price target based on support level rebounds.
However, our Bitcoin forecast takes a more conservative approach. While CoinLore’s $99,858 prediction aligns with near-term resistance levels, the aggressive targets above $130,000 appear disconnected from current technical realities. The RSI at 33.78 and bearish MACD histogram suggest any rally will face significant resistance.
Most analysts agree that the critical $95,933 support level mentioned by Blockchain.News represents a make-or-break point for Bitcoin’s immediate trajectory.
BTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation Before Recovery
Current Bitcoin technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency caught between oversold conditions and persistent selling pressure. The RSI reading of 33.78 indicates Bitcoin has moved from oversold territory but remains below neutral, suggesting limited immediate upside momentum.
The MACD histogram at -812.29 confirms bearish momentum continues to dominate, though the gap between MACD and signal lines suggests this downtrend may be losing steam. Bitcoin’s position at 0.12 within the Bollinger Bands places it near the lower band support at $92,809, indicating potential for a technical bounce.
Volume analysis shows $2.56 billion in 24-hour trading, which remains healthy for supporting any recovery move. The key pattern emerging is a potential double bottom formation if Bitcoin can hold current support levels.
Bitcoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BTC
Our bullish BTC price prediction centers on a recovery to the $105,000-$115,000 range by December 2025. This Bitcoin forecast relies on several technical factors aligning:
The primary BTC price target of $105,000 represents a return to the SMA 20 level, which has historically acted as strong support during bull markets. For this scenario, Bitcoin must first reclaim the EMA 12 at $99,577, followed by a break above the immediate resistance at $113,643.
A successful break above $115,000 could trigger the more aggressive analyst targets, with the next major resistance at $126,199 representing the strong resistance level identified in our technical analysis.
Bearish Risk for Bitcoin
The bearish scenario for our BTC price prediction involves a breakdown below the critical $93,005 support level. If this level fails, the next significant support doesn’t appear until the psychological $85,000 level, representing a potential 11% decline from current prices.
The most concerning aspect of current Bitcoin technical analysis is the price trading below all major moving averages, indicating the overall trend remains bearish despite oversold conditions. A failure to reclaim the EMA 12 within the next two weeks would validate the bearish scenario.
Should You Buy BTC Now? Entry Strategy
The current setup presents a complex decision for the “buy or sell BTC” question. Our Bitcoin forecast suggests a cautious accumulation approach rather than aggressive buying.
Recommended entry strategy includes dollar-cost averaging between $93,000-$96,000, with a strict stop-loss at $91,500 to limit downside risk. The risk-reward ratio favors buyers at current levels, with potential upside to $105,000 representing a 10% gain versus 4% maximum loss to the stop level.
Position sizing should remain conservative given the bearish MACD signals, with no more than 3-5% portfolio allocation recommended for new positions.
BTC Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive Bitcoin forecast points to a consolidation phase followed by recovery to $105,000-$115,000 by December 2025. This BTC price prediction carries medium confidence given the mixed technical signals.
Key indicators to watch for validation include RSI breaking above 40, MACD histogram turning positive, and most importantly, a decisive break above the EMA 12 at $99,577. Failure to hold the $93,005 support would invalidate the bullish scenario and trigger our bearish BTC price target of $85,000.
The timeline for this prediction spans 4-6 weeks, with the critical inflection point expected within the next two weeks as Bitcoin approaches the convergence of multiple technical levels.
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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20251117-price-prediction-btc-bitcoin-eyes-105000-recovery-by-december