BTC Dips 6.61% to $78,188, Below MSTR $76K Basis

Key Metrics

  • Current Price: $78,187.88
  • 24h Change: -6.61% (High: $83,722.90 | Low: $75,719.90)
  • 24h Volume: $39,827,871,767
  • RSI (14): 25.15 (oversold)
  • Stochastic K/D: 16.72 / 17.87 (oversold)

Recent Price Action

Bitcoin fell below MicroStrategy’s cost basis of $76,037 for the first time since October 2023 (Jan 31, 18:43 UTC). It also dropped below $80,000 for the first time since April 2025 (Jan 31, 17:09 UTC). On Jan 30, BTC declined 4% amid DXY +0.4%, gold -2.5%, and Nasdaq -0.8%.

Technical Analysis

Overall downtrend confirmed: Supertrend bearish, price below EMA20 ($87,376.50), EMA50 ($89,872.66), EMA200 ($103,956.86). MACD bearish (-2,493.49 line vs. -1,161.21 signal). Bollinger position below lower band ($79,390.37), signaling oversold conditions (ATR: 2,973.82).

Support and Resistance Levels

LevelPriceScoreDistance
Strong Support S1$75,726.8674/100 ⭐-3.80%
Strong Support MTF S1$75,765.9079/100 ⭐-3.14%
Strong Resistance R1$80,416.5769/100 ⭐+2.15%
Strong MTF Resistance R4$80,416.5769/100 ⭐+2.15%

Multi-timeframe: 9 strong levels (1D:1S/2R, 3D:1S/3R, 1W:1S/2R). Crash targets: $58,878 (score 22), $50,580 (score 20).

Market Outlook

Bearish momentum persists with price below key EMAs and oversold indicators hinting at potential short-term bounce NEAR $75,727 support. Resistance at $80,417 must break for recovery.

Senior Technical Analyst: James Mitchell

6 years of crypto market analysis

This analysis is not investment advice. Do your own research.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/btc-drops-6-61pct-to-78188-below-mstr-76k-basis