Bitfinex: Altcoin Season Could Hinge on Crypto ETF Launches as Bitcoin Dominance Persists

Altcoin season is a market phase when altcoins outperform Bitcoin, often triggered by increased investor appetite for higher-risk digital assets; Bitfinex analysts say broad altcoin gains may await new crypto ETFs that deliver sustained, price‑agnostic inflows into non‑BTC tokens.

• Altcoin season begins when capital shifts from Bitcoin into lower‑cap tokens.

• Crypto ETFs expand investor access and can create lasting demand across altcoins.

• Bitcoin dominance sits at 58.58% and the Altcoin Season Index reads 46/100, indicating room for rotation.

Altcoin season analysis: altcoin season may depend on crypto ETFs; read the latest market signals and action items for investors.

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Bitfinex market analysts say a broad altcoin rally — an “altcoin season” — is unlikely to be sustained until new crypto ETFs expand investor access and generate persistent, price‑agnostic demand across non‑Bitcoin tokens.

Altcoins have been closely watched as Bitcoin dominance eased by roughly 6% over the past 30 days. Market participants expect a sustained rotation into altcoins only when institutional and retail vehicles make exposure to smaller, higher‑beta tokens simpler and more trusted.

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What is altcoin season and how could crypto ETFs trigger it?

Altcoin season is a market phase when non‑Bitcoin cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin on price and momentum. Bitfinex analysts argue that the launch of new crypto ETFs could provide the structural, price‑agnostic inflows needed to broaden demand and spark a durable altcoin re‑rating.

How will crypto ETFs affect altcoins and investor flows?

Crypto ETFs increase accessibility, bringing in institutional capital and retail investors with simplified custody and regulatory clarity. Spot Bitcoin ETFs (trading since January 2024) and spot Ether ETFs (since July 2024) show ETFs can sustain inflows for extended periods, and similar products for altcoins would likely replicate that demand profile.

Bitfinex analysts note the current market shows a “muted trajectory” and a softer appetite for risk, which explains why a broad, outsized altcoin rally has not yet materialized. Coinbase Institutional’s global head of research, David Duong, recently suggested a potential shift toward a full‑scale altcoin season as September approaches.

Which ETF applications and regulatory actions matter now?

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has delayed decisions on several ETF applications, including Truth Social’s Bitcoin‑Ethereum ETF, Solana (SOL) products from 21Shares and Bitwise, and 21Shares’ Core XRP Trust (plain text mentions only). These delays affect timing expectations for any rotation into altcoins.

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