Macroeconomic strategist Lyn Alden sees a positive outlook for Bitcoin over the next year, pointing to healthy fundamentals and supportive market conditions.
Despite recent volatility, she believes the broader trend remains upward—though not without potential threats.
Alden’s analysis suggests that Bitcoin still has room to grow through 2025, assuming the global economy avoids major disruptions. However, she cautions that unforeseen financial shocks—such as a rapid decline in global equity markets—could temporarily reverse momentum. These rare but impactful events, often referred to as Black Swans, could lead to significant short-term losses even in strong-performing assets like Bitcoin.
While many investors continue to track Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycles as a key signal for price movement, Alden argues that this narrative may be losing its dominance. As Bitcoin matures and its market cap grows, its behavior is becoming more aligned with global liquidity trends than with fixed supply mechanics alone.
According to her assessment, liquidity—the availability of capital across the financial system—now plays a much larger role in shaping Bitcoin’s direction. Periods of high liquidity tend to benefit risk assets like Bitcoin, while tighter conditions may limit upside or trigger corrections, regardless of the halving schedule.
This shift reflects Bitcoin’s increasing integration into the broader financial landscape. No longer driven solely by crypto-native factors, its price action is now heavily influenced by global macroeconomic dynamics. As such, Alden expects the asset to continue performing well in the absence of major economic shocks, but she also emphasizes that investors should remain aware of external risks that could shake the system.
Alexander Stefanov
Reporter at Coindoo
Alex is an experienced finance journalist and a cryptocurrency and blockchain enthusiast. With over 8 years of experience covering the crypto, blockchain and fintech industries, he deeply understands the complex and constantly evolving world of digital assets. His insightful and thought-provoking articles provide readers with a clear picture of the latest developments and trends in the market. His passionate approach allows him to break down complex ideas into accessible and insightful content. Follow up on his content to be up to date with the most important trends and topics.
Source: https://coindoo.com/bitcoins-uptrend-likely-to-continue-but-risks-remain-says-analyst/