Bitcoin Traders Brace for Election Outcome Effects

As the 2024 U.S. elections approach, Bitcoin (BTC) traders are gearing up for possible market upheaval. Reports indicate that after a notable downturn in global markets during August, Bitcoin’s 30-day latent volatility index has surged. This volatility measure, developed by CF Benchmarks and based on CME Bitcoin option pricing, highlights the market’s uncertainty, leading traders to prepare for varying election results.

Will Significant Oscillations Follow the Elections?

Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, has indicated that traders anticipate an 8% fluctuation immediately after the elections, a stark contrast to the typical 2% seen in stable times. Despite this, Mauron notes that there isn’t a notable fluctuation premium expected post-November 7, signaling that swift election results may be forthcoming. However, competitive public polling suggests that this expectation might be overly optimistic, prompting traders to stay alert for all possible outcomes.

What Price Range Can Bitcoin Reach?

The distribution of BTC buying and selling options suggests that traders are employing a dual approach as they prepare for the elections, positioning themselves for both rising and falling prices. Reports from Derive.xyz predict that Bitcoin’s price could oscillate between $60,000 and $80,000 in November. Supporting this, data from Deribit indicates active speculation across a wide price range as market participants manage their expectations.

• Traders expect heightened volatility around the election period.
• Predictions suggest Bitcoin prices may fluctuate between $60,000 and $80,000.
• Current trading of Bitcoin is at $68,815, showing slight growth.

As market dynamics shift, Bitcoin continues to showcase resilience, with its current trading value at $68,815, reflecting a modest increase of 0.63% over the past day. The upcoming election results could play a crucial role in shaping the cryptocurrency landscape.