Bitcoin Supply in Profit Nears 98% as ETF Inflows and Technical Signals Suggest Possible Breakout

• Bitcoin’s supply in profit has surged to an impressive 98%, signaling strong market confidence and setting the stage for a potential rally.

• Institutional demand is intensifying, with significant ETF inflows and whale accumulation reinforcing Bitcoin’s upward momentum near the $107,000 price level.

• Technical analysis from COINOTAG highlights a likely breakout, projecting Bitcoin’s price could reach $140,000 in the short term and potentially $200,000 by year-end.

Bitcoin’s profitability hits 98% amid rising ETF inflows and technical signals, indicating a strong potential breakout toward $140K–$200K in 2025.

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Bitcoin Profitability Metrics and Institutional Demand Signal Strong Uptrend

Recent data from Glassnode reveals that Bitcoin’s supply in profit has climbed sharply to 98%, a significant increase from 87% just days prior. This metric reflects the proportion of Bitcoin holders currently in a profitable position, underscoring heightened market optimism. The realized profit/loss ratio has also surged to 2.8, representing a 156% increase since late June, which historically correlates with the onset of accelerated price rallies.

Market dynamics further support this bullish outlook. Despite over $2.46 billion in daily realized profits recorded in mid-June, Bitcoin’s price has remained resilient near the $107,000 mark. This stability suggests that institutional investors are actively absorbing selling pressure, reinforcing the asset’s upward trajectory.

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Institutional participation continues to expand, as evidenced by US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting $2.21 billion in inflows last week. Additionally, MicroStrategy’s recent acquisition of nearly 5,000 BTC exemplifies ongoing large-scale accumulation. These developments highlight a robust foundation for sustained price appreciation in the near term.

Technical Indicators Point to Imminent Bitcoin Breakout

Technical analysis indicates Bitcoin is consolidating within a critical range between $100,000 and $110,000. According to insights from Stockmoney Lizards, BTC is poised to breach a significant multi-year trendline, with a short-term target of $140,000 and a longer-term projection of $200,000 by the end of the year.

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The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the overbought threshold, suggesting that upward momentum has room to build. Analyst OxNobler anticipates Bitcoin will trigger its first Bullish Cross on July 3, a technical event that historically precedes major rallies, as seen in 2021.

Coupled with rising ETF inflows and continued whale accumulation, these technical signals reinforce expectations for Bitcoin to challenge and potentially surpass key resistance levels soon. Historical data also supports this outlook, with July traditionally delivering average monthly gains exceeding 7% since 2013.

Institutional Accumulation and Market Sentiment Driving Momentum

The surge in institutional demand is a critical factor underpinning Bitcoin’s current strength. Large-scale investors, including hedge funds and publicly traded companies, are increasing their exposure, signaling confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition. This trend is further validated by consistent ETF inflows, which provide a regulated and accessible avenue for institutional capital.

Whale activity, characterized by significant Bitcoin holdings moving off exchanges and into secure wallets, indicates a preference for holding rather than selling. This behavior reduces available supply on the market, potentially amplifying upward price pressure as demand continues to rise.

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders and analysts closely monitoring technical patterns and macroeconomic factors. The alignment of profitability metrics, institutional demand, and technical indicators suggests a favorable environment for Bitcoin’s next phase of growth.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s current market conditions, marked by a 98% supply in profit, robust institutional inflows, and supportive technical indicators, point toward a strong potential breakout. With targets set at $140,000 in the short term and $200,000 by year-end, the cryptocurrency is positioned for significant gains. Investors should continue to monitor key metrics and market developments to capitalize on this evolving opportunity.