Key Insights:
- Analyst said that Bitcoin price is retesting a golden cross, a historically bullish momentum signal.
- Experts projected potential upside toward $160,000 if the pattern held.
- Macro risks such as geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainty could disrupt momentum.
Bitcoin price appears to be approaching a key milestone as BTC retested the golden cross pattern. This formation often signaled long-term trend reversals.
Notably, the setup occurs when the 50-day moving average rises above the 200-day moving average, a point many analysts viewed as a bullish indicator.
Technical Trend Hints at Bitcoin Price Breakout
Crypto analyst Mister Crypto wrote on X that BTC is “retesting the golden cross right now.” He added that holding the crossover zone could drive the Bitcoin price toward roughly $160,000 by late October 2025.
He cited positive momentum from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator and steady inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
This level had served as a critical test in prior cycles. Sustaining it often confirmed bullish momentum, while breaking below it risked invalidating near-term optimism.
According to the expert, the previous golden crosses in the history of BTC price were followed by significant price advances.
He has highlighted rallies of more than 1,000% after similar signals in 2019 and 2021, though both events featured brief pullbacks before the sustained move higher.
However, technical strategist Cas Abbé noted that the pattern was “often misunderstood.” He said Bitcoin typically dropped about 10 to 15 percent after the crossover before resuming its uptrend.
According to Abbé, the signal was “not an immediate buy indicator but a validation of strength over time.”
However, some observers remained cautious. Market analyst FX_Professor said on TradingView that the golden cross “tends to lag behind actual price movement.”
He argued it acted more as a confirmation tool than a predictive signal.
This interpretation underscored a broader consensus among technical traders: the golden cross alone could not dictate trend direction, but it offered evidence that broader momentum had shifted toward accumulation rather than distribution.
Bitcoin Price Volatility Extends Across Altcoins
The recent correction in digital-asset markets affected both Bitcoin price and major altcoins. The BTC price had earlier fallen below $110,000 before stabilizing, suggesting that a sustained altcoin rotation was unlikely in the short term.
Influencer Philanthrop announced on X that he sold all his Bitcoin and Ethereum holdings to focus on alternative tokens, citing similarities to past cycles.
In both 2017 and 2021, altcoins sharply outperformed BTC once Bitcoin price consolidated, he said. Notably, data from 21Shares supported that view, showing that in prior bull markets, large-cap altcoins outperformed Bitcoin by an average of 174%.
Meanwhile, the analyst said that this rotation dynamic made diversification difficult to time. Altcoins could see temporary rallies, but their correlation with macro sentiment often limited their staying power compared with BTC price.
Macro Risks Still in Play
Even as technical conditions improved, macroeconomic factors continued to influence investor positioning.
Analysts pointed to several near-term risks, including renewed trade tensions between the United States and China, fluctuating expectations around Federal Reserve rate policy, and geopolitical instability.
Uncertainty around the global economic outlook could trigger short-term volatility across risk assets, including Bitcoin price.
Analysts said a stronger dollar or higher-than-expected inflation data could pressure the Bitcoin price if institutional investors rotated back into traditional markets.
Recent developments in trade policy under President Donald Trump’s administration have also raised concerns over supply-chain disruptions and higher import costs.
These factors could weigh on liquidity conditions, indirectly affecting capital inflows into digital-asset funds.
Some traders warned that even with favorable ETF inflows, Bitcoin price could face turbulence if macro headlines dominated risk sentiment.
Maintaining support above the crossover zone remained critical for BTC price to sustain technical strength.
Bitcoin Price: Momentum Holds if Crossover Sustains
Analysts said the next few weeks would determine whether BTC price could maintain its position above the golden-cross threshold.
A confirmed hold could validate the uptrend and pave the way for a longer-term advancement for Bitcoin price toward the $160,000 projection.
However, if the crypto fails to hold this level, traders expect an extended consolidation period before any renewed breakout.
In either case, the crossover served as a reference point for evaluating market momentum and investor conviction.
For now, indicators such as the MACD and Bitcoin ETF inflow data continued to align with a constructive bias. Yet analysts agreed that external pressures, from policy shifts to global market shocks, could alter that path.
At press time, the BTC price was showing resilience around $115,196, consolidating above its key averages.
Whether that strength would evolve into another major rally remained dependent on holding the crossover zone and on broader macro stability supporting digital-asset demand.