Key Insights:
- Bitcoin news reveals Coinbase Premium hit -22.5% during three weeks of US panic selling as Bitcoin price dropped to $60,000. It flipped positive Feb. 7 when BTC price recovered to $68,000
- Historical Bitcoin patterns from March 2023 and August 2024 show similar Coinbase Premium reversals marked by local bottoms after capitulation events
- The 48-hour reversal raises questions whether this signals smart money capitulation or retail FOMO buying. Macro conditions are looking worse than previous recovery periods.
US investors just reversed three weeks of panic selling. In today’s Bitcoin news, Coinbase Premium hit -22.5% when Bitcoin dropped to $60,000 in late January and early February. That means Americans sold Bitcoin at a 22% discount compared to global exchanges.
Then, on Feb. 7, the premium turned positive. It is time to understand the possible reasons for the same set of investors to come in.
Bitcoin News: Coinbase Premium Gives a Sign
Coinbase Premium tracks the price difference between Coinbase and other major exchanges like Binance or Kraken. When the premium goes positive, Americans pay more for Bitcoin than the rest of the world. When it goes negative, they sell at a discount.
The metric shows US investor sentiment in real time. Positive premium means strong buying pressure from American retail and institutions. Negative premium means they’re dumping coins faster than global markets.
US markets move differently. Americans trade during New York hours. They react to Federal Reserve news, job reports, and domestic economic data. When Coinbase Premium swings hard in one direction, it often predicts short-term price moves.
The premium calculation is simple. Take Bitcoin price on Coinbase. Subtract the price on a global exchange. Divide by the global price. A -22.5% reading means Coinbase traded 22.5% lower than global averages. That’s massive selling pressure concentrated in one region.
Historical data shows extreme premiums don’t last long. When Americans panic sell at big discounts, the premium eventually reverts. When they FOMO buy at huge premiums, the discount returns. The cycle repeats based on fear and greed.
Three Weeks of Selling Reversed in 48 Hours
Bitcoin dropped from $100,000 in December 2024 to $60,000 by late January 2026. US investors led the selloff. Coinbase Premium stayed negative for three straight weeks starting mid-January.
At the bottom, the premium hit -22.5%. Then Feb. 7 arrived. Bitcoin bounced, and Coinbase Premium turned positive. The same investors who sold at $60,000 started buying back at higher prices. Classic retail behavior.
The 48-hour reversal suggests capitulation happened. Weak holders sold everything at the worst possible moment. When the price stabilized, they felt relief and jumped back in. Fear turned to hope almost instantly.
But there’s another explanation for this Bitcoin news bit. Maybe this is just a relief rally. Or even banks taking early positions. Bitcoin bounced before and failed. The premium could head towards the negative zone again if the price tests the $60,000 support. Without strong institutional buying, retail enthusiasm fades fast.
Bitcoin News Shows This Pattern Happened Before
Coinbase Premium followed similar patterns in past cycles. In 2023, Bitcoin dropped to $19,500 after the FTX collapse. Premium hit -18% as Americans panic sold. Two weeks later, Bitcoin rallied to $28,000, and the premium became positive. That reversal marked the bottom.
In 2024, Bitcoin crashed from $64,000 to $49,000 in three days. Coinbase Premium fell to -15%. US investors sold hard. Within 10 days, Bitcoin recovered to $58,000, and the premium turned positive. The capitulation marked another local bottom. Do note that each of these pushes wasn’t game-changing but only led to key bounces.
The current situation looks similar. Three-week selloff, extreme negative premium, fast reversal. History says this could be the bottom. But there’s a difference this time.
Previous reversals happened when macro conditions improved. March 2023 saw banking crisis fears fade. August 2024 brought rate cut hopes. Right now, in February 2026, job losses hit 108,000, and inflation stays elevated. The macro backdrop looks worse than before.
So the premium reversal might not stick. If Bitcoin price falls back under $60,000, the premium could crash again. That would confirm this representation of Bitcoin news was just a fake-out rally, not real capitulation.