overbought RSI levels and a bearish MACD signal creates an exciting environment that needs to be monitored closelyBitcoin battles to bounce back following a sudden decline with historic bearish indications; fresh threats suggest that it could fall to unprecedented levels of $40K.
Bitcoin is attempting to recover following a vicious sell-off that rocked the crypto markets, though analysts caution that the threat of an even greater correction remains.
On X (Twitter), Crypto Rover reported that Bitcoin Relative Strength Index (RSI) had reached major peaks seen just six times previously that had been followed by violent bullish recoveries.

Source – X Crypto Rover
However, another prominent market analyst on X, Ali, warned of a bearish monthly MACD signal, which has already resulted in average losses of about 60 percent, suggesting that it can reach lows near 40,000 in case the pattern repeats.

Source –X, Ali
Oversold Signals Ignite Faint Hope, but Bearish Trends Persist
The latest records show Bitcoin liquidations of 66.52 million, the majority of them short of 43.53 million, which is a strong indicator of high selling pressure that momentarily pushed BTC to 80,000 before its slight recovery.
Crypto Rover identified the highly oversold RSI positions as being vulnerable to short-term reversals to the bullish side, but Ali has pointed out the possibility of an even larger downtrend with bearish MACD signals on the monthly charts.
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Critical Price Levels Will Define Bitcoin’s Next Moves
Bitcoin is currently floating around the region of $86,000- $87,000, which is a very important support area where buyers have temporarily re-entered. Nevertheless, technical signals such as MACD continue to indicate bearish momentum, meaning that the recovery is not strong enough to move the overall trend.
A consolidation may stabilize prices, should bulls be able to protect this area. The inability to hold might trigger a plunge to the estimated 40,000 level in line with previous bearish MACD indicators, as indicated by Ali on X.

Source –X, Ali
Market strength is further challenged with the total crypto market cap remaining slightly under 3 trillion, and anxious investors closely monitoring this figure.
These conflicting signs highlight the vulnerable state of Bitcoin between its precarious recovery and the risk of further losses. The convergence of historically overcharged RSI levels and a bearish MACD signal leads to an exciting environment that needs to be monitored keenly as the month ends.