Bitcoin mirrors 2020 pattern: Is $135K the next stop for BTC?

• Bitcoin was gaining attention with bullish momentum, as analysts predicted a potential surge to $135,000
• Key metrics point to strong fundamentals, though risks remain.

Bitcoin [BTC] is once again capturing the spotlight, fueled by renewed bullish momentum that has traders and analysts eyeing ambitious price targets.

With the cryptocurrency market rebounding, BTC’s trajectory has drawn comparisons to its meteoric rise in late 2020, sparking speculation about a similar cycle playing out.

Analyst maps Bitcoin’s path to $135,000

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently drew a parallel between BTC’s current price action and its December 2020 rally.

Source: X

By highlighting the near-identical alignment of Bitcoin’s price trajectory and RSI levels, Martinez suggested a potential roadmap for Bitcoin.

According to his projection, BTC could rally to $108,000, experience a pullback to $99,000, and ultimately surging to $135,000. The comparison to 2020 emphasizes the cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s market behavior, reinforcing the possibility of history repeating itself.

Parallels to 2020 and key metrics

Source: TradingView

The current Bitcoin price action mirrored the December 2020 breakout, with both periods showcasing consistent higher highs and steady RSI levels that reflect increasing bullish momentum.

In late 2020, Bitcoin transitioned from $20,000 to over $40,000 in just a few weeks, driven by institutional adoption and heightened retail FOMO.

Similarly, Bitcoin’s present surge, crossing $97,000, exhibits acceleration fueled by renewed interest from institutional investors and macroeconomic uncertainty.

The resemblance in trajectory pointed out the possibility of a multi-leg rally, with consolidation phases likely along the way. However, market conditions today include higher volatility and a more diverse crypto ecosystem, which could shape the outcome differently.

Source: Santiment

BTC’s daily active addresses have surpassed 476K, indicating consistent network growth. Simultaneously, social volume remained elevated at 388K, reflecting strong market engagement.

These metrics reinforce Martinez’s projection, as rising adoption and community activity align with historical patterns of sustained price momentum.

Source: CryptoQuant

The increase in exchange outflows signaled strong accumulation as investors moved Bitcoin off exchanges, reducing available supply—a historically bullish indicator.

Simultaneously, the MVRV Ratio approaching 2.6 reflected growing unrealized profits but remains below peak euphoria levels seen in past cycles, suggesting room for further upside.

Source: Cryptoquant

This reduced selling pressure, coupled with heightened demand, creates a supply shock scenario. Such dynamics, previously observed in late 2020, catalyzed rapid price surges, reinforcing the viability of Martinez’s $135,000 target.

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

Challenges and risks to Bitcoin’s $135k journey

While Martinez’s projection is compelling, investors should consider several risks. Bitcoin’s heightened volatility and unpredictable macroeconomic factors could disrupt the anticipated trajectory.

Additionally, the diverse crypto ecosystem introduces competing assets, potentially diluting Bitcoin’s dominance.

The MVRV Ratio nearing overbought territory also raises the risk of sharp corrections. Market sentiment can shift abruptly, amplifying downside pressure.

As with all projections, cautious optimism and disciplined risk management are essential when navigating Bitcoin’s volatile market.