Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Moving  Towards the Biggest Drop

The biggest decrease in bitcoin mining difficulty this year may occur with the upcoming release. The adjustment is anticipated to occur in the early hours of next Tuesday and, based on most predictions, could range from -8% to -7%. At the time of writing, Luxor had it pegged at -7.98%, Braiins at -7.9%, and Bitrawr at -7.9% and -7.5%.

These figures give a fairly accurate view of the condition of mining economics at the moment, though they are subject to change over the coming days depending on how many machines come online and offline. 

The largest company by hash rate, Core Scientific, has warned that it may have to declare bankruptcy as a result of the economic downturn. Because of rising power expenses and falling bitcoin prices, the business has seen its profit margins collapse. And some businesses are insolvent and cash-strapped.

Ethan Vera, COO of Luxor, a bitcoin mining software startup that operates a mining pool said that the impending difficulty adjustment is tracking to be extremely negative. Hash price levels reach resistance points owing to mining profitability thresholds turning negative.

A unit of hashrate’s hash price refers to the money that miners can expect to make during a given period of time.

Additionally Vera continued that many distressed miners are unplugging and moving rigs, exerting further downward pressure on network difficulty. 

According to Jeff Burkey, Foundry’s VP of Business Development, a difficulty drop is the result of miners turning off computers that are no longer lucrative.

Since selling machines at this price is not profitable, another dip is genuinely expected to be seen. Many S19J Pros are not successful, said William Foxley, director of publicity and strategy at Compass Mining.

According to data from Luxor, typical prices have generally decreased by roughly 80% compared to last December even though an increasing number of ASIC machines are flooding the market.

The term “difficulty” describes how complicated the computational process of mining is, and it changes in step with the network’s hash rate typically every two weeks (or every 2,016 blocks).

This much of a reduction in difficulty would provide miners with some breathing room. According to Vera, this will help the miners who can withstand the hashprice climate with low-cost operations and high-efficiency machinery.

It would stand in stark contrast to the difficulty increase of 13.55% that was seen in early October. When summertime temperatures cooled off, Kevin Zhang, senior vice president at Foundry, noted that this resulted in “greater uptime and less curtailment across mining plants.”

At the same time, more effective devices from the most recent generation, such the Antminer S19 XP, were finally being used. This year, July saw the biggest decline with a dip of 5.01%.

Nancy J. Allen
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Source: https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2022/12/04/bitcoin-mining-difficulty-moving-towards-the-biggest-drop/