Bitcoin price prediction: Bitcoin could see an ~11% short-term pullback to near $99k–$104k before resuming an upward trend toward a potential $162,000 target once institutional fear eases and support holds, according to technical indicators and analyst Ted Pillows.
Short-term pullback likely (≈11%)
Support consolidation near current levels can set the stage for renewed institutional buying.
Historical Fed rate-cut reaction: a prior 58% rally after an initial dip (2024).
Bitcoin price prediction: 11% pullback then recovery to $162,000 — read strategy and key data. Act accordingly.
What is the Bitcoin price prediction after the recent Fed rate cut?
Bitcoin price prediction: Short-term technicals suggest an approximately 11% pullback from current levels, followed by a potential rally to $162,000 if key support holds and institutional flows return. This view aligns with historical market reactions to Fed rate cuts and on-chain liquidity patterns.
How much could Bitcoin pull back in the short term?
Daily technical indicators, including the Directional Movement Index (DMI), point to increased selling pressure and a possible 11% correction. With Bitcoin at $111,101, an 11% drop would place price in the roughly $99,000–$104,000 range. Short-term weakness often attracts large players who buy on fear.
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Bitcoin price analysis suggests a potential 11% pullback before a recovery to $162,000, mirroring last year’s market reaction to Fed rate cuts.
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- Bitcoin’s current price setup mirrors the conditions seen during last year’s Fed rate cut, which led to a 58% rally.
- Short-term technical indicators suggest an 11% pullback, but large players may treat this as an entry point for future gains.
- A possible rally to $162,000 is projected once the market absorbs the current dip and fear subsides.
Bitcoin’s price is currently at $111,101, resting on key support levels. Ted Pillows, an expert analyst, has drawn parallels between current market conditions and those from last year, predicting a similar price movement. He points out that the price could dip before another significant rally, echoing Bitcoin’s performance during the 2024 Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut.
Pillows notes that Bitcoin’s price structure today shows strong resemblances to the previous year’s behavior. In 2024, the market saw an initial decline followed by a massive rally that sent prices up by 58% to $93,000. Given that Bitcoin now sits just above a crucial support zone, the analyst believes this time the setup might even be stronger. The early weakness may provide room for a broader recovery in the coming months.
How do technical indicators signal short-term weakness?
Short-term volatility is expected. Institutional demand has weakened recently with some capital shifting to gold as a perceived safe haven. Daily charts show increased selling pressure and DMI readings consistent with a correction. These indicators support the 11% pullback scenario before consolidation and renewed buying interest.
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$BTC dumped nearly 12% after the Fed cut rates in 2024.
A similar dump will put BTC around the $104,000 level, which I think could happen.
The reason is Gold is still running, and institutional flow for Bitcoin has gone down a lot.
Big players usually like to buy fear, and… pic.twitter.com/GAOLqtJyDK
— Ted (@TedPillows) September 24, 2025
Despite these signals of short-term weakness, Pillows remains bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. He emphasizes that large institutional players often treat such price dips as buying opportunities, expecting them to fuel the next phase of the rally. Once the fear-induced sell-offs are absorbed, a rally toward $162,000 could be imminent, similar to what occurred last year.
Why might institutions re-enter after a pullback?
Institutions often use corrections to rebalance and accumulate at lower prices. If macro conditions show easing volatility and on-chain liquidity metrics improve, institutional desks may redeploy capital. Historical precedent from the 2024 Fed rate-cut shows heavy institutional participation following initial volatility.
Frequently Asked Questions
How should traders manage risk during an 11% pullback?
Use stop-loss orders, scale into positions, and avoid emotional one-off trades. Keep sizing aligned with risk tolerance and monitor liquidity at key support levels.
When could Bitcoin resume its rally toward $162,000?
Resumption depends on support holding, reduced selling pressure, and renewed institutional inflows; these signals typically appear over weeks to months after a correction.
Key Takeaways
- Short-term correction likely: Expect an ~11% pullback to around $99k–$104k based on technicals.
- Historical precedent: Prior Fed rate-cut reaction produced a 58% rally after initial weakness.
- Actionable step: Consider scaling into positions and monitoring institutional flow metrics for confirmation of a trend reversal.
Conclusion
Bitcoin price prediction suggests a short-term pullback that could create a buying opportunity if support holds and institutional demand returns. COINOTAG will continue monitoring technical indicators and on-chain metrics; readers should evaluate risk parameters and remain focused on verified data and expert analysis.