Bitcoin remains resilient above the critical $100k support level, signaling ongoing bullish control despite recent market cooling.
Long-term holder accumulation and robust ETF inflows are providing optimism for a potential recovery amid geopolitical tensions.
According to COINOTAG source Adler Crypto Insights, the Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase index currently indicates normal market activity with demand resumption.
Bitcoin holds above $100k with strong long-term holder support and ETF inflows, maintaining bullish momentum amid geopolitical uncertainty and market cooling.
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Bitcoinâs $102.5k Support Level Holds Amid Market Cooling and Volatility
Bitcoinâs price action has demonstrated resilience by maintaining a key support level at $102.5k, which technical analysis and MVRV pricing bands have identified as a critical threshold. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin briefly dipped to $104k twice but rebounded, trading at $104.6k at the time of writing. This price behavior aligns with earlier predictions of short-term volatility driven by institutional short bets, as evidenced by the divergence between spot and perpetual futures markets. Despite external pressures, including geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin has not succumbed to a significant corrective phase, instead entering a âcooling downâ period where bulls retain control as long as the price remains above this support.
Heat Macro Phase Index Reveals Market Sentiment and Demand Dynamics
Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jrâs weekly Adler Insights post introduces the Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase, a composite metric that integrates four key indicators to gauge market âheatingâ: the normalized MVRV Z-score, the aSOPR 14-day simple moving average, the long-term holder to short-term holder (LTH-STH) cost basis, and the 10-day moving average of ETF inflows in dollars. The index peaked at 0.45 on May 22nd, coinciding with Bitcoinâs $111k high, and cooled to 0.39 by June 5th during an accumulation phase near $101k. Currently, the index stands at 0.41, signaling a resumption of demand and stable market activity. A drop below 0.39, especially if paired with a price fall under $100k, would indicate a shift into a corrective phase, altering the bullish outlook.
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Source: https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoin-may-maintain-support-above-100k-amid-cooling-phase-and-long-term-holder-accumulation/