Bitcoin Inflow/Outflow Ratio Near 2022 Lows Suggests Possible Accumulation and Support Around $100,000

• Bitcoin’s inflow/outflow ratio has dropped to 2022 lows, signaling renewed accumulation and potential bullish momentum ahead.

• Despite persistent short-selling pressure on Binance derivatives, BTC remains resilient within a narrow $100,000 to $110,000 trading range.

• COINOTAG reports highlight over 19,400 BTC moving into institutional wallets, indicating strategic accumulation by long-term holders.

Bitcoin’s inflow/outflow ratio hits 2022 lows as institutional accumulation intensifies, suggesting a strong foundation for a potential rally above $100,000.

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Bitcoin’s Inflow/Outflow Ratio Signals Renewed Long-Term Confidence

Recent onchain data reveals that Bitcoin’s monthly outflow/inflow ratio has declined to 0.9, a level not observed since the end of the 2022 bear market. This metric, which compares the volume of BTC moving off exchanges to that moving onto them, serves as a critical indicator of market sentiment. A ratio below one typically reflects accumulation, as investors withdraw coins from exchanges to hold in private wallets, reducing sell-side liquidity.

This shift suggests that long-term holders are increasingly confident in Bitcoin’s price stability and future prospects. Historically, similar low ratios have preceded significant price rallies, such as the sustained upward movement following Bitcoin’s macro bottom near $15,500 in late 2022. The current data implies that the $100,000 to $110,000 range may represent a new support zone, potentially setting the stage for a renewed bullish phase in the second half of 2025.

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Institutional Accumulation Reinforces Market Stability Amid Short-Selling

While short sellers have exerted pressure on Bitcoin through Binance derivatives, cumulative volume delta (CVD) data indicates that this selling pressure has not translated into a price breakdown. Instead, BTC has maintained a tight trading range, suggesting that the market is absorbing these sell orders effectively.

Supporting this observation, COINOTAG sources report that over 19,400 BTC, valued at approximately $2.11 billion, were transferred from dormant wallets into institutional-grade addresses. These coins had remained untouched for three to seven years, highlighting a deliberate and strategic accumulation by long-term investors. Such movements typically signal confidence in Bitcoin’s medium to long-term outlook and may provide a strong bid that limits downside risk.

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Market Dynamics Point Toward a Structural Bottom Formation

The convergence of declining inflow/outflow ratios, sustained institutional accumulation, and resilience against short-selling pressure suggests that Bitcoin is establishing a structural bottom near the $100,000 level. This foundation could reduce the likelihood of sharp corrections below this threshold, even amid ongoing short-term volatility.

Moreover, the persistent outflows from exchanges reduce available supply for immediate selling, which historically correlates with upward price momentum. Investors and traders should monitor these onchain metrics closely, as they provide valuable insights into market health and potential turning points.

Implications for Traders and Long-Term Investors

For traders, the current tight price range combined with strong accumulation signals a period of consolidation that may precede a breakout. Maintaining vigilance on derivative market flows and exchange balances will be crucial for identifying entry points and managing risk.

Long-term investors may view the recent institutional movements as validation of Bitcoin’s growing acceptance as a strategic asset. The transfer of dormant coins into institutional wallets underscores a shift toward accumulation rather than liquidation, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a store of value in diversified portfolios.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s declining inflow/outflow ratio, coupled with significant institutional accumulation and resilience against short-selling pressure, points toward the formation of a robust support base near $100,000. This confluence of factors suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for a renewed upward trajectory, with the current price range serving as a critical pivot zone. Market participants should consider these onchain dynamics as key indicators for potential future price movements while remaining attentive to broader macroeconomic conditions.