Bitcoin’s short-term outlook shows futures-driven bearish pressure but resilient spot demand; Bitcoin futures weakness is evident from a low Futures Pressure Index and sub‑1 Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, while spot Delta and exchange outflows indicate accumulation that may hold BTC above $114.5k support.
Futures weakness: Futures Pressure Index at 32.5; Taker Buy/Sell Ratio ~0.89.
Spot strength: Net outflows and Spot Delta +447 BTC show buy-side absorption.
Key levels: 14‑day VWAP $114,500 as support; resistance near $117.9k and $119,347.
Meta description: Bitcoin futures weakness shows bearish derivatives pressure, but spot demand and exchange outflows support BTC above $114.5k — read the latest analysis.
What is Bitcoin’s current market outlook?
Bitcoin futures weakness is visible as derivatives metrics sank into bearish extremes while spot markets absorbed selling, keeping BTC range-bound between roughly $113k–$117k. The most important signals—Futures Pressure Index, Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, Spot Delta and Exchange Netflows—point to short-term consolidation around $114.5k support.
How severe is the futures bearishness?
CryptoQuant data show the Futures Pressure Index at 32.5, a quarterly extreme indicating heavy short positioning and net leverage to the downside. The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio stayed below 1.0 for most of the week, printing 0.89 at the time of reporting, confirming sellers dominated derivatives order flow.
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Why did futures metrics turn bearish?
Market participants rotated into short exposure as momentum cooled. The Futures Pressure Index at 32.5 signaled a large share of leverage on the sell side. Cumulative Taker CVD across 90 days showed negative flows, and the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio rarely exceeded one, confirming sustained derivatives selling.
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Spot markets registered higher buy volume—1.68k BTC buy vs 1.23k BTC sell—producing a positive Delta of +447 BTC. Exchange Netflows remained negative for the week, with a fresh outflow of 577 BTC after larger prior outflows, indicating accumulation by long-term holders and institutions.
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