Bitcoin eyes $150K – Is 2026 the start of an ‘Institutional Supercycle’?

The 2025 FUD didn’t just rattle risk assets.

Instead, it hit crypto stocks hard too. The expanding DAT ecosystem is acting like a double-edged sword – Market volatility is forcing investors to offload stocks, which in turn amplifies stress across risk assets.

Strategy [MSTR] shows this clearly. The stock finished 2025 down 45%, its worst year since the 2022 bear market. The knock-on effect? Bitcoin’s [BTC] October crash, which triggered $20 billion in liquidations.

Source: TradingView (MSTR/USD)

Naturally, the question arises – Will 2026 be any different?

Notably, even with 2025’s bear market, key sectors (RWA, stablecoins, DeFi etc.) saw massive capital inflows. That momentum is driving adoption and as a result, analysts expect it to generate yield in this cycle.

The main driver? Institutional demand. With sector-wide inflows rising, analysts are calling 2026 an “institutional cycle,” eyeing a $150k year-end Bitcoin target. The big question – Will on-chain data back it up?

Fundamentals driving Bitcoin’s 2026 cycle

The main takeaway from 2025? A clear divergence across crypto sectors.

Take the RWA tokenization market, for example. According to RWAxyz, it ended the year at $18 billion – A 210% jump highlighting strong momentum in tokenized assets. Stablecoins followed suit, with the supply rising over 50%.

Put together, these fundamentals are shaping Bitcoin’s 2026 outlook. The impact is already visible on-chain. In fact, according to the attached chart, institutions are buying 76% more BTC than miners are producing, creating a supply deficit.

Source: TradingView

Given these factors, calling 2026 an “institutional cycle” wouldn’t be far off.

In this context, the 2025 bear market actually served as a much-needed pause. During this time, capital flowed into long-term sectors, helping draw a clearer line between speculation and fundamentals. 

Consequently, with this momentum, 2026 could be a breakout year for Bitcoin’s DATs. MSTR’s 4% rally underscores the shift, while growing institutional demand could push the crypto towards a $150k year-end target.

Final Thoughts

• Capital inflows into RWA, stablecoins etc. are creating strong fundamentals, while institutions are buying more Bitcoin than what miners produce.
• After the 2025 bear market pause, the current momentum supports a potential “institutional cycle,” with a $150k year-end BTC target.