- The investing business placed a very high value on bitcoin and gold in the unlikely event that one of them becomes the world’s reserve currency.
Bitcoin (BTC) has double the upside of gold, according to American financial firm VanEck, and could be worth as much as $4.8 million per coin if it becomes the global reserve asset.
The prediction on Bitcoin and gold
VanEck’s head of active EM debt Eric Fine and chief economist Natalia Gurushina wrote a Thursday insights post in which they attempted to analyze the price implications for gold and Bitcoin if either were to be accepted as the back for global currency regimes.
According to VanEck’s analysis, BTC’s suggested price ranged from $1.3 million to $4.8 million. The lower projection was based on BTC as a monetary basis (M0), which according to the investment database Investopedia covers all circulating supply of a currency and bank deposits but isn’t a typical metric used by economists.
The more usual M2 assessment, which Investopedia defines as a measure of the money supply that includes all bank deposits with a currency and their capacity to be converted into cash, yielded the higher prediction.
Because “a very large number of central banks have little or no reserve gold,” Fine and Gurushina leaned more toward the M0 price estimate of $31,000 as a reliable starting point in their assessment of gold’s per-ounce price. Due to the paucity of reserves, the M2 forecast is substantially higher and less trustworthy at $105,000 per ounce of gold.
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Alternatives to gold and BTC
The recent geopolitical upheaval has prompted Russia to investigate utilizing a variety of currencies, including Bitcoin, to trade oil with “friendly” partners China and Turkey.
The practice could spread to other countries’ central banks, putting the US dollar’s dominance at risk. The Chinese yuan, according to Fine and Gurushina, should be considered the top prediction for a new reserve currency, although governments will likely adjust their holdings nonetheless.
The analysts cautioned readers to keep in mind that the forecasts are only guidelines for investors to develop a framework for valuing gold and BTC, which might become a worldwide currency in the future. There are alternatives to gold and Bitcoin, such as finite real estate, endless shares, and even developing market currencies, according to the report.
VanEck’s Bitcoin Strategy exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a Bitcoin futures ETF with a total net asset value of $30.1 million. The company also recently submitted an application with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a new exchange-traded fund (ETF) that will focus on gold and cryptocurrency mining companies.
Source: https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2022/04/02/bitcoin-could-hit-4-8m-when-made-a-global-reserve-asset-vaneck/