Bitcoin (BTC) Price Today: Bitcoin Holds $118K as Whales Absorb Binance Dump, Analysts Predict Bullish Reversal

Bitcoin price today is holding firm above the $118,000 level, maintaining strength despite a noticeable increase in retail selling pressure on Binance.

Recent on-chain data reveals a clear divergence between short-term selling by smaller traders and longer-term accumulation by institutions and crypto whales.

Retail inflows to Binance rose sharply—from $12 billion to $16 billion—signaling a profit-taking trend among individual investors. However, this surge in selling has been countered by large-scale accumulation activity, preventing a significant price breakdown.

Market behavior mirrors the pattern observed during Bitcoin’s rally in April, where retail traders exited positions early, while whales began quietly accumulating once again.

Market Overview: Bitcoin Technical Analysis Shows Balanced Outlook

The latest Bitcoin technical analysis shows BTC consolidating between $116,800 and $118,500, forming a descending parallel channel. While short-term bullish momentum has cooled, the overall structure still suggests a consolidation phase before a potential breakout.

BTC consolidates between $116.8K–$118.5K — tightening Bollinger Bands hint at a breakout ahead. Source: LTCBagHODLR on Tradingview

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has decreased to 63.11, moving away from overbought territory but remaining in bullish territory. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram indicates weakening momentum, hinting at a possible pause or slight pullback.

Additionally, Bollinger Bands have tightened on the 4-hour chart, often a precursor to a strong directional move. A successful defense of the midline around $114,800, followed by a push toward the upper band near $123,500, could confirm a bullish breakout.

Whale Accumulation Amid Retail Exit Signals Bullish Setup

A strong contrast between retail and institutional behavior has emerged. While individual investors have sold over $16 billion worth of Bitcoin on Binance, crypto whales have withdrawn over $600 million in BTC and ETH from centralized exchanges—$200 million in Bitcoin alone.

Around $17B whale inflows hit as BTC eyes $120K — is it rocket fuel or a sell-side splashdown? Source: TokenTitan via X

Such withdrawal activity is widely viewed as a bullish signal, reflecting a shift toward long-term holding rather than short-term speculation.

Spot Bitcoin ETF news supports this outlook, with U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs reporting consistent net inflows. This trend reinforces the idea that institutional demand remains strong, even amid minor pullbacks.

Analyst Insights: Cautious Optimism Despite Short-Term Pressure

In the short term, Bitcoin’s price faces a critical test. It must reclaim and maintain the $118,000–$119,000 zone to regain bullish momentum. Technical indicators remain mixed: the 4-hour Supertrend is still bearish, and the Parabolic SAR currently prints above the price, signaling caution.

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at around $118,454, down 0.21% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Bitcoin Liquid Index (BLX) via Brave New Coin

However, technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin is in a consolidation zone, with compression building. A breakout above $119K and through the $120K resistance level could pave the way for a retest of the $123K high, reinforcing bullish continuation.

In the derivatives market, open interest has dipped slightly (-0.28%), while trading volume jumped 38.5% in the last 24 hours. Top Binance traders long/short ratio is 1.60, which suggests a relatively bullish attitude despite near-term uncertainty.

BTC Long-Term Prognosis: Setup Continues to Be Bullish Ahead of Bitcoin Halving 2025

With the impending 2025 Bitcoin halving, the long-term outlook remains good. The recent pullback appears to be a good consolidation process, perhaps clearing the way for another big leg higher in the next few months.

Bitcoin stalls below $120K — break above $123K could flip the script and ignite a run to $130K. Pressure builds as big players absorb the dip. Source: ajamalvand0020 on Tradingview

The $118K–$120K region is still the key one to watch. If Bitcoin can successfully break out above this range and above $123,000, the downtrend would be rejected, and the path to $130,000 would be back on.

In the meantime, the market remains in a period of transition, where temporary pressure to sell at the retail level is being absorbed by larger participants. The current price of Bitcoin reflects this balance of power and foretells a future directional break.

Final Thought

Bitcoin continues to hold its ground near $118,000, despite retail sell pressure on Binance. With whales actively accumulating and institutional flows into ETFs picking up, market conditions suggest that a bullish reversal may be approaching. Investors are closely watching for a breakout that could take BTC to fresh all-time highs in the months ahead.