Bitcoin Approaches $100K: Whale Activity Fuels Momentum Amid Rising Caution and Liquidation Risks

Bitcoin edges toward euphoric profit levels as whales fuel momentum and risks quietly build beneath.

Bitcoin’s profit levels surge as whale activity drives prices, but caution grows amid emerging risks—an analysis of the current market dynamics.

Whale transactions explode: Are institutions fueling the rally?

Large-value Bitcoin transactions have expanded significantly across the board. Transfers above $10 million have spiked by 183.45%, while those between $1 million and $10 million climbed 82.26%.

Moreover, transaction activity in the $100K–$1M and $10K–$100K ranges also grew by 38.41% and 36.17%, respectively.

This explosive surge points to a resurgence of whale and institutional activity, typically associated with major market moves. Therefore, strong participation from deep-pocketed players adds substantial weight behind Bitcoin’s ongoing climb toward six figures.

Source: IntoTheBlock

Exchange flows shift: Can outflows sustain Bitcoin’s upside?

Bitcoin’s exchange flows continue to paint a bullish picture. At press time, BTC saw $603.07 million in outflows compared to $435.99 million in inflows, leading to a net outflow of around $167 million.

Historically, sustained outflows correlate with accumulation trends, reducing the immediate sell pressure on exchanges. Therefore, the persistent drainage of liquidity from trading platforms suggests that investors prefer holding, adding another layer of support to Bitcoin’s resilience near the $95K level.

Source: CoinGlass

Is Bitcoin’s rally built on shaky ground?

Despite bullish accumulation signals, on-chain valuations send mixed warnings. Bitcoin’s MVRV Long/Short Difference has dropped sharply to 1.73%, indicating that few short-term holders sit on large profits—typically a bullish condition that limits heavy profit-taking.

However, the NVT ratio has skyrocketed to 598.28, suggesting that the network’s value is growing much faster than its transaction volume. Therefore, while limited unrealized profits cushion selling risks, the overheated NVT ratio hints that Bitcoin’s valuation could be outpacing its actual network usage, raising caution flags.

Source: Santiment

Liquidation clusters loom

The Binance BTC/USDT liquidation map shows critical risk zones emerging below Bitcoin’s current price. Between $90,000 and $93,000, a dense cluster of high-leverage long positions sits vulnerable to liquidation if prices dip.

However, above the $95,000 region, cumulative short liquidations begin to build aggressively, especially around $97,000 and higher. Therefore, if Bitcoin maintains strength and pushes higher, it could trigger a short squeeze, accelerating upside momentum. Conversely, a slip below $93K would risk unleashing a cascade of long liquidations.

Source: CoinGlass

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s rally finds strong backing from whale accumulation, healthy supply dynamics, and sustained exchange outflows. However, network activity signals and a fragile liquidation landscape suggest caution is warranted.

If Bitcoin can defend the $94K–$95K region and avoid major long liquidations, the stage remains set for a potential explosive push beyond $100K.