Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin’s Imminent Bullish Surge Amid Policy Changes – Coincu

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, recently shared on the X platform that Bitcoin could enter an upward-only trend if current monetary and global policy trends continue unabated.

This statement holds significance as it suggests Bitcoin may benefit from anticipated monetary policy changes, affecting its market trajectory.

Bitcoin’s Price Surge Linked to Monetary Policy Shifts

Arthur Hayes, known for impactful market predictions, announced on April 11 that Bitcoin is on the brink of a “mode of only rising and not falling.” He suggests more policy responses could emerge in the coming days. If trends continue, global monetary policies could trigger notable Bitcoin price shifts. Hayes’s statements reflect his continued belief in Bitcoin as a hedge against macroeconomic volatility.

The statement highlights Bitcoin’s potential dominance in the market, potentially relegating other cryptocurrencies to lesser prominence. Hayes’s comments suggest a shift in investor focus back to Bitcoin, capitalizing on expanding liquidity from central banks worldwide. Market participants have exhibited mixed reactions, with some anticipating market volatility and others expecting stability. Ben Zhou, Bybit CEO, supports Hayes’s position, pointing to Bitcoin climbing alongside liquidity increases.

“The situation is developing in full swing. If this trend continues, we will see more policy responses this weekend. Bitcoin is about to enter a mode of only rising and not falling.”

— Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder, BitMEX

Bitcoin’s Market Performance and Hayes’s Influence Examined

Did you know? Arthur Hayes’s prediction about central bank policies aligns closely with past periods of economic stress where Bitcoin gained value as an alternative asset.

Bitcoin currently holds a market price at $81,709.18, a market cap of $1.62 trillion, dominating 62.48% of the market. It has shown a 0.84% increase over 24 hours, though remains down over 60 and 90 days. Total trading volume was $45.93 billion, indicating substantial investor interest. Data is sourced from CoinMarketCap as of April 11, 2025.

The Coincu research team notes potential outcomes from Hayes’s perspective include increased financial market entries into Bitcoin and regulatory responses enhancing or restricting cryptocurrency adoption. Historically, Bitcoin’s market movement follows central bank policies; liquidity expansions often coincide with bullish Bitcoin zones. Historically, surges aligned with monetary policy shifts, further supporting Hayes’s thesis.