Analyst Warns of Potential 20% Dip in Bitcoin Price, Targets $34,000 Before Halving

While Bitcoin struggles to maintain its footing at $42,500, a longstanding technical analyst has argued that BTC could be heading towards a consequential decline, potentially tanking to $34,000.

The foundation of the bleak outlook rests on suggestions from Bitcoin’s historical pattern, particularly those established before halving cycles. Notably, Bitcoin’s next halving is just three months away.

In a recent post on X, technical analyst “Titan of Crypto” highlighted a recurring pattern in Bitcoin’s price performance surrounding halving events.

Specifically, the analyst pointed out that Bitcoin traded at approximately 50% of its previous all-time highs at the point of halving in the past cycles.

Bitcoin Prices at Past Halving

Data from market tracking resources indicated that ahead of Bitcoin’s 2012 halving, the cryptocurrency had reached its peak at $26.9 in November 2011.

Nonetheless, when the halving occurred on November 28, 2012, the asset had retreated to $12.53, marking a decline of approximately 53.4%.

Remarkably, the 2012 halving event laid the foundation for Bitcoin’s subsequent peak at $1,238 a year later. However, the asset experienced a downturn.

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It had a price between $550 and $663 in July 2016, coinciding with another reduction in Bitcoin mining rewards. This was essentially another 50% drop in its price from the previous height of $1,200.

A similar pattern of 50% reduction repeated in the build-up of Bitcoin’s most recent halving.

Last Chance to Stock BTC at Low Price

With this pattern holding true for Bitcoin’s past events, the technical analyst suggested that Bitcoin could be poised for a significant correction. He sees the asset gravitating around $34,000 by the time of the next halving. Note that Bitcoin hit a peak of $69k in 2021. 

With the next halving anticipated in April, it implies the leading cryptocurrency could experience a 20% decline from its current value of $42,500, aligning with the expected 50% decrease historically associated with such events.

Ultimately, Titan of Crypto emphasized that the $34,000 could represent the last opportunity for investors to accumulate Bitcoin at such a comparatively lower price point. 

This implies that the next three months could be crucial for investors looking to increase their Bitcoin holdings before the anticipated price surge following a halving event.

Contrarily, another market expert has presented a divergent perspective based on Bitcoin’s historical patterns. This expert contends that Bitcoin might undergo a noteworthy bullish trajectory leading up to the April halving.