Topline
Miami Mayor Francis Suarez is widely expected to announce a run for the GOP’s 2024 presidential nomination in a “big speech” Thursday, which would make him the third Florida-based candidate to enter the race and the 10th challenger to former President Donald Trump.
Key Facts
Donald Trump: The former president maintains a strong—but early—lead in polls despite his multiple, escalating legal woes that he’s turned into a key talking point for his campaign—casting them as “political witch hunts,” a messaging strategy that appears to be resonating with voters.
Ron DeSantis: DeSantis launched his candidacy May 24 in a glitch-plagued announcement on Twitter, and has since sought to “counterpunch” Trump as he’s kicked off his campaign in key primary states, accusing Trump of veering “left” on culture issues and casting him as “petty” and “juvenile” over the ex-president’s repeated jabs at everything from DeSantis’ personality to the way he pronounces his name.
Chris Christie: The former New Jersey governor filed candidacy paperwork earlier this month, hours before delivering a speech in New Hampshire where he attacked Trump as a “bitter, angry . . . lonely, self-consumed, self-serving mirror hog” as he seeks to cast himself as the only GOP candidate who is willing to take on his former ally head-on—a strategy others in the field have largely shied away from out of what politicos have observed is a fear of deterring MAGA voters.
Mike Pence: The former vice president also filed candidacy paperwork earlier this month and debuted his campaign in a video ad accusing “President Joe Biden and the radical left” of weakening “America at home and abroad,” while also making a veiled reference to Trump and his Christian faith in calling for “different leadership” akin to “better angels.”
Tim Scott: The South Carolina senator, who announced his candidacy on May 22, is taking a more optimistic approach than some of his rivals while leaning into his Christian faith, and has secured the endorsement of Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.), the Senate’s No. 2 Republican.
Asa Hutchinson: Hutchinson, who served eight years as governor of Arkansas until the end of last year, launched his campaign on April 26—Hutchinson has been a vocal critic of Trump, going as far to say the January 6 Capitol riot “disqualifies” him from running again and that he should drop out of the race after being indicted in New York.
Doug Burgum: The North Dakota governor announced his campaign in a Wall Street Journal op-ed earlier this month that accused Biden of failing to address Americans’ economic woes, and touted his own experience heading several companies, while vowing to repeat his achievements as governor if elected president, including cutting spending, balancing the budget, diversifying the economy and enhancing energy production.
Nikki Haley: After vowing not to run against Trump, the former South Carolina governor became his first official challenger in February, calling for a “new generation of leadership” in a video announcement, while lamenting President Joe Biden’s “abysmal record,” but she has largely avoided Trump jabs and has instead focused her attacks on DeSantis, whom her campaign recently called a “mini Trump . . . without the charm.”
Francis Suarez: A super PAC backing Suarez, SOS America, aired a video Wednesday depicting crime on the streets and chaos at the southern border under “President Joe Biden’s America” while stating “Suarez choses a better path for Miami,” the latest indication Suarez, who has repeatedly teased a Thursday announcement, could jump into the race.
Vivek Ramaswamy: The 37-year-old investment firm manager—who made Forbes’ list of America’s richest entrepreneurs under 40 in 2016 with a net worth of $600 million at the time—entered the fray in February with a video announcement in which he dubs “covidism, climatism and gender ideology” as “new secular religions,” a statement that builds on what he calls an “anti-woke” message detailed in his 2021 book, Woke, Inc.
Larry Elder: The former 2021 California gubernatorial candidate and conservative radio talk show host announced his long-shot candidacy in a Fox News interview on April 20, where he told ex-host Tucker Carlson, “America is in decline.”
Big Number
54%. That’s the percentage of GOP voters who said they would cast their ballots for Trump in a hypothetical 2024 primary, compared to 21% who said they would vote for DeSantis, according to FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker.
Key Background
With the primaries nearly a year away, Trump remains the early front-runner despite his recent indictments in federal court Thursday and Manhattan Criminal Court in March. Trump has used his various legal woes to rally voters and Republicans by casting the various investigations against him as political hit jobs. In recent months, his polling lead has climbed as he’s ramped up attacks on DeSantis, taking jabs at his [absence of] personality and casting him as “disloyal” after his endorsement for DeSantis’ 2018 gubernatorial bid was widely credited for helping him win the election. The DeSantis campaign got off to a rocky start when his Twitter announcement was delayed by glitches on the platform that owner Elon Musk blamed on an overloaded server as more than 600,000 users tuned in to the discussion. DeSantis is laying groundwork to run to the right of Trump, pointing to the string of right-wing legislation he signed as governor, including bills that ban gender-affirming care for minors, restrict the use of preferred pronouns in schools and defund diversity and equity initiatives at public colleges.
What To Watch For
Trump’s advisors and political allies reportedly view the growing candidate field as a boon to Trump in hopes the other competitors will draw votes from DeSantis and elevate Trump to the nomination. “The general thinking is that Scott getting in is another sign that there is blood in the water for DeSantis,” a Trump advisor told Politico.
Tangent
President Joe Biden formally announced his reelection bid on April 25 in a video where his campaign trashed “MAGA extremists,” but did not explicitly mention Trump or DeSantis. Polls show both DeSantis and Trump barely beating Biden in hypothetical general election matchups, according to RealClearPolitics polling average, which shows DeSantis with a 1.2-point lead and Trump with a 1.8-point lead over Biden.
Further Reading
Former Gov. Nikki Haley Launches Presidential Run—She’s First To Challenge Trump (Forbes)
Trump Launches 2024 Presidential Bid (Forbes)
Biden Announces 2024 Reelection Campaign (Forbes)
Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2023/06/14/miami-mayor-francis-suarez-teases-gop-presidential-run-heres-the-full-2024-primary-list/