‘Everything Everywhere All At Once,’ ‘The Banshees Of Inisherin’ Are Bettors’ Favorites

Topline

Nominations for the 95th Academy Awards will be unveiled Tuesday morning — here are the films odds-makers are predicting will lead the pack and win the biggest prizes.

Michelle Yeoh is a Best Actress contender for ‘Everything Everywhere All at Once.’ (Photo by Matt … [+] Winkelmeyer/FilmMagic)

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Key Facts

This year’s Academy Awards ceremony will take place on March 12, with nominations set to be announced on the morning of January 24.

Gold Derby and DraftKings’s betting odds are forecasting buzzy films like Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Banshees of Inisherin and The Fabelmans could secure nominations for top categories like Best Picture and Best Director.

Best Picture

Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Fabelmans, and Top Gun: Maverick are the four films with the best betting odds for getting a nomination on both Gold Derby and DraftKings.
Most Gold Derby users betting on the Oscar winners have Everything Everywhere All at Once pegged to win Best Picture — more than 5,000 of the 8,500 users betting on it to be nominated are expecting it to win — and it has leading odds of 2/3 on DraftKings.
Elvis, Tár, and All Quiet on the Western Front also made the top 10 on Gold Derby and DraftKings’s betting odds (the Academy nominates 10 films for Best Picture).
Gold Derby users, however, are betting on The Whale and Women Talking to secure nods with 18/1 and 28/1 odds, respectively, while DraftKings has Indian film RRR and Babylon in its top 10, with 35/1 and 40/1 odds, respectively.

Best Director

Gamblers on both Gold Derby and DraftKings are betting on the same top four directors: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans), Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), and Todd Field (Tár).
Gold Derby users are divided between the Daniels and Spielberg for the win: of the more than 8,000 betting on the nominees, about 4,000 picked Spielberg for the win and 3,200 predicted the Daniels.
Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front) ranks fifth in Gold Derby’s betting odds with 17/2 — but 12th in DraftKings’s odds with 65/1 — while James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water) is fifth on DraftKings with 28/1 odds.

Best Actress

Most oddsmakers are betting on a close race between Cate Blanchett (Tár) and Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once) — they’re the top two on both Gold Derby and DraftKings.
Few Gold Derby users are predicting anyone other than Blanchett or Yeoh to win — more than 5,000 are betting on Blanchett to take home the Oscar, while more than 2,400 predicted Yeoh.
Danielle Deadwyler (Till), Viola Davis (The Woman King), and Ana de Armas (Blonde) round out both the Gold Derby and DraftKings odds to fill the other three slots.

Best Actor

Oddsmakers are largely betting on one of three actors in this category: Brendan Fraser (The Whale), Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), or Austin Butler (Elvis).
Fraser leads both the Gold Derby and DraftKings odds — more than 4,700 of the 8,500 Gold Derby users expecting Fraser to land a nomination also picked him to win — while Farrell and Butler are second and third, respectively, on both sites.
Bill Nighy (Living) is fourth in both the Gold Derby and DraftKings odds, though Gold Derby users expect Paul Mescal (Aftersun) to nab the fifth nomination with 8/1 odds, while DraftKings has Adam Sandler (Hustle) pegged for a nomination with 35/1 odds.

Best Supporting Actress

Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) and Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) lead Gold Derby’s betting odds with 19/5 each, though slightly more users are betting Bassett will take home the Oscar.
Everything Everywhere All at Once is predicted to land two nominations in this category for Jamie Lee Curtis and Stephanie Hsu, who have 9/2 and 15/2 odds on Gold Derby, respectively.
Hong Chau is predicted to land a nod for The Whale with 11/2 Gold Derby odds.

Best Supporting Actor

Most Gold Derby users placed bets on Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) winning the Oscar: nearly 7,000 users of the more than 8,000 who made predictions on Gold Derby chose Quan as the eventual winner, giving him 16/5 odds.
Oddsmakers are expecting two The Banshees of Inisherin actors — Brendan Gleeson and Barry Keoghan — to land a nod here, with 39/10 and 5/1 odds, respectively, on Gold Derby.
Paul Dano (The Fabelmans) and Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse) round out the top five with 5/1 and 17/2 odds, respectively, on Gold Derby.

What To Watch For

With plenty of other awards up for grabs, like original and adapted screenplay, cinematography, and editing, who will lead the nominations count? Variety predicts The Fabelmans, The Banshees of Inisherin, All Quiet on the Western Front, and Elvis will lead with eight nominations each. Gold Derby odds in all categories project The Fabelmans and Everything Everywhere All at Once to lead the pack with nine nods each, followed by The Banshees of Inisherin with eight.

Tangent

Many awards hopefuls flatlined at the box office this year, causing observers and film studios to speculate whether audiences still have an appetite for prestige dramas or if the pandemic did fatal damage to theatergoing. However, two of this year’s Best Picture hopefuls rank among the highest-grossing films of all time (Avatar: The Way Of Water, which just crossed $2 billion at the global box office, and Top Gun: Maverick).