Timothy Morano
May 11, 2026 07:40
Solana breaks above $95 resistance with technical momentum building toward $108 within two weeks. Current price action at $95.37 suggests 70% probability of hitting target, though failure to hold $…
SOL’s Bullish Momentum Builds
Solana has broken through a critical resistance level at $95.10, now trading at $95.37 and showing the kind of price action that typically precedes major moves. The breakthrough comes with healthy volume backing of $291 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, suggesting institutional participation without the frothy speculation that marks market tops.
Technical momentum is building as SOL trades above its key moving averages, with the 7-day at $91.55 and 20-day at $87.21 now serving as support levels. The RSI reading of 68.94 indicates room for further upside before reaching overbought conditions, while current positioning above the upper Bollinger Band at $95.10 demonstrates genuine breakout momentum rather than false signals. This Blockchain.news technical analysis points to a market ready for the next leg higher.
Volume and Market Structure Signal Strength
The current trading range between $92.91 and $97.00 shows buyers stepping in aggressively on any weakness while sellers remain disciplined near resistance. Funding rates holding steady at 0.0089% indicate futures markets aren’t overextended, leaving room for leveraged buying to accelerate any upward breakout without the risk of immediate long liquidations.
SOL’s ability to maintain levels above $95 after multiple tests demonstrates real accumulation rather than speculative buying. When retail participation increases dramatically, we typically see funding rates spike above 0.02% and volume double current levels, neither of which has occurred yet.
Two Clear Paths Forward
The primary scenario sees SOL targeting $108 over the next 14 days, requiring a decisive break above $99.18 resistance with sustained volume above 400 million daily. This path maintains a 70% probability based on current momentum and market structure, with Blockchain.news data showing the technical setup favoring continued upside.
The alternative path involves failure at current levels, triggering a move toward $85.54 support at the 50-day moving average. This scenario carries 30% probability but would activate quickly if SOL breaks below $93.19 support, potentially accelerating the decline toward stronger support zones.
Key levels to watch: Above $99.18 confirms the bullish target toward $108, while below $93.19 shifts focus to the $85 support test. The next 72 hours should determine which direction SOL takes, with current momentum favoring the upside scenario.
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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260511-price-prediction-target-sol-108-within-14-days-as-bulls