Whale Accumulation Rises But Bears Defend $1.40

• XRP at $1.33, down 60% from its peak, sitting on the channel floor with all four EMAs overhead.
• Whale inflows average $9M daily for 29 straight days — the longest streak since the run to XRP’s all-time high.
• The Sharpe Ratio turned positive for the first time since late 2024, a nascent signal that risk-adjusted returns are improving.

XRP whale inflows have averaged $9M daily for 29 straight days, the longest accumulation streak since the run to $3.65. Price is currently pinned at $1.33, wedged against the floor of a six-month descending channel, with every major moving average overhead and on-balance volume still trending lower.

XRP Price Chart: Descending Channel With No EMA In Sight

XRP peaked near $3.80 in July 2025 and has been printing lower highs ever since. The descending channel’s upper boundary has capped every bounce since August, and price is currently sitting at the lower boundary between $1.30 and $1.35. A daily close below $1.30 opens the next support at $1.27, then the yearly low at $1.11.

All four EMAs are stacked above price and sloping down. The 20-day at $1.40 is the first level that matters. Price has not touched it since mid-March. OBV has been declining steadily since August 2025, meaning volume is heavier on red days than green. Until that reverses, the rallies are selling opportunities, not breakouts.

Whales Are Buying XRP At The Lows

Whale inflows have averaged $9M per day since February 27, the longest sustained accumulation phase since April to July 2025. That prior streak ended with XRP rallying to its all-time high of $3.65. The current streak has now matched the duration of that setup without producing a price response yet.

XRP’s Sharpe Ratio turned slightly positive on March 26, the first positive reading after months near or below zero. A 30-day average return of 0.00063 supports the shift, with the ratio at 0.0267. It is a small number but the direction matters. When the last accumulation phase aligned with improving risk-adjusted returns, price followed within weeks. If the Sharpe Ratio retreats back below zero, that thesis breaks.

Related: XRP Stuck in Tight Range as Traders Watch $1.40 Support

XRP Derivatives: Longs Keep Getting Cleared

Trading activity is thinning but positioning is growing more directional. Spot volume dropped 8% to $3.16 billion in 24 hours, and open interest edged down to $2.57 billion — a fraction of the $10–11 billion recorded at the peak in late 2025. Options open interest bucked the trend, rising 12% to $26.6 million, suggesting traders are increasingly buying protection or making leveraged bets on a near-term breakout rather than holding outright positions.

The long/short ratio is roughly neutral at 0.99, but the liquidation ledger is skewed: bulls absorbed $3.46 million in forced closures over the past 24 hours against just $439,000 on the short side. The pattern is consistent — aggressive longs keep getting stopped out at the $1.40 resistance level. Until that level flips to support, bears hold the structural advantage.

Related: Can XRP Break Key Resistance This Week As Triangle Tightens?

XRP Price Prediction: Will Whale Accumulation Finally Move The Price?

The descending channel is the dominant structure. Reclaim $1.40 on a daily close and the 20-day EMA flips from resistance to support. From there $1.47 is the next test, then $1.64. Whale inflows sustaining above $9M daily and OBV turning up would confirm the accumulation is translating into price.

Lose $1.30 and the channel floor breaks. The $1.27 internal liquidity level is the first stop, with the yearly low at $1.11 below that. Longs getting liquidated repeatedly at $1.40 means bulls have tried and failed multiple times already. The next attempt needs volume behind it.