What the US-Iran Conflict Means for XRP Price?

• US-Israel strikes on Iran triggered an immediate risk-off move, accelerating XRP’s pullback.
• Fibonacci level 78.6% at $1.50 acts as resistance, with $1.13 acting as the last major support.
• A break below $1.13 opens $0.85-$0.95, while $1.43-$1.52 remains key resistance.

On February 27-28, the United States, coordinating with Israel under Operation Shield of Judah, launched major combat operations against Iran. President Donald Trump described the strikes as large-scale military action.

Targets included Tehran, Isfahan, Qom, Karaj, and Kermanshah, focusing on missile facilities, naval assets, and nuclear infrastructure.

Reports indicate Iran’s Supreme Leader was killed, and Iran closed its airspace. Israel declared a state of emergency while retaliation followed across the region.

Meanwhile, crypto markets reacted immediately as sharp red candles printed across majors over the weekend. The market was already under pressure heading into late February, and the conflict accelerated bearish momentum.

Historically, during major geopolitical shocks, capital rotates into liquidity and traditional safe havens. Crypto behaves as a high-beta risk asset, not as digital gold. During prior conflicts, including Russia-Ukraine, volatility expanded, and altcoins underperformed.

XRP Price Analysis: Price Action Under Stress

XRP trades near $1.34, down roughly 66% from its 2025 high near $3.66. The altcoin ranks fifth in the market, with a valuation of $83 billion, closely followed by BNB with a market cap of $84 billion.

XRP is trading below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $1.50, which now acts as overhead resistance. The coin also trades below the 7-day SMA at $1.39, below the 30-day SMA at $1.46, and far below the 200-day SMA at $2.29, reinforcing a bearish structure across multiple timeframes.

RSI is near 31, and is leaning toward oversold, while the CMF indicator shows that money has been leaving XRP at a significant pace.

The critical support is at $1.13, the last meaningful swing low. A confirmed break below $1.13 will open the path toward $0.85-$0.95. That scenario becomes more probable if military escalation continues.

On the other hand, resistance sits between $1.43 and $1.52. That zone aligns with the 30-day SMA and Fibonacci level 0.786. Above that, the $1.70-$2.15 area forms a dense weekly supply band. XRP must reclaim and hold above $1.52 before any structural recovery can be discussed.

The token has not traded below $1.00 for roughly a year and a half, but under sustained geopolitical stress, a break below that psychological level becomes possible.

Related: Middle East Conflict Escalates, Stocks, Crypto Fall; Oil & Gold Surge