IMX, with a daily drop of up to 6%, is at a critical turning point at the $0.15 level: RSI 35.77 is giving an oversold signal, while Bitcoin’s dominant downtrend is pressuring altcoins – if $0.1495 support breaks, a deep decline is on the horizon!
Market Outlook and Current Situation
IMX is trading at the $0.15 level with a 5.93% decline over the last 24 hours, stuck in a narrow $0.15-$0.16 daily range. This tight band movement stands out as a reflection of the overall market downtrend; volume remains low at $5.50 million, with no sign of buyers entering yet. Synchronized with Bitcoin’s 4.95% drop, IMX is taking hits in an environment where an altcoin rally seems remote. From a weekly perspective, the token has failed to recover its 20% losses over the past month, but the detection of 10 strong levels in MTF (multi-timeframe) confluences points to potential base formation.
The risk-off mode dominating the broader market is also affecting IMX. Despite no recent breaking news, Layer-2 developments in the Immutable X ecosystem continue to be monitored as long-term catalysts. In the short term, failure to hold above EMA20 ($0.17) gives a bearish short-term signal. Investors should anticipate that upward momentum will remain limited without volume increase. In this context, you can review IMX Spot Analysis to develop detailed position strategies.
With the daily trend confirmed as downtrend, similar pressure prevails on 3-day and weekly charts. The price’s inability to test $0.16 resistance shows sellers maintaining superiority. However, low-volume consolidation could set the stage for a sudden breakout – quick recovery in the positive scenario, deep support test in the negative one.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones
The most critical support is positioned at $0.1495 (score: 61/100), reinforced with strong confluence on the daily timeframe. This level is near the 24-hour low, and if broken, $0.1424 (60/100) and $0.1290 (60/100) will come into play. MTF analysis highlights 3 supports on 1D and 1 on 3D; these zones align with Fibonacci retracements and volume profile. Holding at $0.1495 is key for short-term rebound – this area carries potential as a base seen by investors as a buying opportunity.
If it slips to $0.1424, bearish momentum could accelerate; this level overlaps with weekly lows, gaining psychological importance. Deep support at $0.1290 serves as a test point for the long-term trendline. These supports should be watched as the ‘last bastion’ within the overall downtrend; without accompanying volume increase, there’s risk of easy surrender.
Resistance Barriers
The first resistance is at $0.1532 (62/100), followed by $0.1601 (70/100) forming a strong barrier. The Supertrend indicator shows additional resistance at $0.20, with EMA20 ($0.17) as an overhead obstacle. MTF shows 2 resistance confluences on 1D and 4 on 3D; $0.1601 coincides with the recent high-volume selling zone. Breaking these levels could signal a bullish reversal, but it looks difficult under the current trend.
Rejection at $0.1532 is likely; this is a liquidity hunt point for short-term traders. Volume confirmation is essential for an upside breakout – otherwise, fakeout risk is high.
Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength
RSI at 35.77 is approaching the oversold region, laying the groundwork for potential bullish divergence. However, momentum is weak within the downtrend; oversold bounce may remain limited. Positive histogram formation on MACD is encouraging – with line crossover nearby, bearish EMA crossovers confirm trend strength. Supertrend gives bearish signal, while low ADX levels (trend weakness) increase the likelihood of sideways consolidation.
EMAs are bearishly aligned: Price below EMA20 ($0.17), distant from EMA50 and EMA200. Stochastic oscillator is also oversold, but %K/%D crossover is anticipated. Overall trend strength is moderate; conflict with bullish indicators (MACD hist) may signal short-term short-covering. Long-term, downtrend dominates – $0.1601 breakout is required for momentum shift.
Volume analysis shows notable decrease on declines; OBV (on-balance volume) exhibits negative divergence. This points to seller exhaustion, enhancing rebound potential from supports.
Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook
Bullish target $0.2333 (score 30/100) is accessible if resistances are overcome, but low probability. In bearish scenario, $0.0547 (22/100) is deep downside target; R/R ratio favors bears (1:2+). Risk: High volatility, BTC correlation. For positive outlook, $0.1495 hold and RSI>50 are required; in negative case, $0.1424 break is sell signal.
Trading outlook is cautious: Longs from supports, shorts from resistance rejections. Get additional insights for leveraged strategies with IMX Futures Analysis. With low volatility, wait for breakout – overall risk/reward balance leans bearish.
Long-term investors should monitor ecosystem developments; short-term scalping opportunities in support/resistance ranges. Stop-loss is mandatory in every scenario.
Bitcoin Correlation
IMX shows high correlation with BTC (0.85+); BTC’s downtrend at $62,910 level is pressuring altcoins. BTC supports at $62,910, $59,939, and $49,685 will be tested – if $59,939 breaks, expect parallel drop to $0.1290 on IMX. Resistances at $64,398, $66,414, $68,116; with BTC Supertrend bearish, IMX rebound remains limited.
BTC dominance increase triggers altcoin selling; for IMX, BTC above $64k is required. If BTC recovers, IMX could head to $0.20; in decline, synchronous pullback likely.
This analysis uses the market views and methodology of Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal.