Roundhill’s 2028 U.S. Election ETF Filing

US-based ETF issuer Roundhill Investments has filed an application with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for six exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to the outcomes of the 2028 US presidential election. The funds are named Roundhill Democratic President ETF, Roundhill Republican President ETF, Roundhill Democratic Senate ETF, Roundhill Republican Senate ETF, Roundhill Democratic House ETF, and Roundhill Republican House ETF. These funds invest in derivative instruments known as event contracts.

Source: Eric Balchunas

Details and Risks of Roundhill Political ETFs

In the application, it was stated that the winning outcome ETF aims for capital appreciation, while the value of the other five funds could suffer significant losses. Attention was drawn to regulatory uncertainties: Changes in the classification or restriction of event contracts could affect the funds. ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated that if approved, the funds could be groundbreaking.

• Winning Fund: High return potential
• Losing Funds: Risk of almost total value loss
• Regulatory Hurdle: SEC approval uncertain

ETH Prediction Markets and Vitalik Buterin’s Concerns

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) withdrew its proposal to ban sports and political prediction markets. Ethereum co-founder ETH detailed analysis Vitalik Buterin expressed concerns about the direction of prediction markets. This development could affect ETH-based prediction platforms (e.g., similar to Polymarket). ETH price is currently at $2,060, in a downtrend with 24h +0.45% change (RSI: 35.65).

Critical Support and Resistance Levels for ETH

• Supports: S1 $1,747.80 (Strong, -15.16%), S2 $2,041.10 (Strong, -0.92%)
• Resistances: R1 $2,064.27 (Strong, +0.21%), R2 $2,216.21 (Strong, +7.58%)
• Supertrend: Bearish, EMA 20: $2,258.18

Prediction markets could increase the volume of ETH futures. Developments such as Tomasz Stanczak’s departure from the Ethereum Foundation at the end of February 2026 could affect the ETH ecosystem.

Frequently Asked Questions About the Roundhill ETF Application

Will these ETFs be approved? SEC uncertainty is high, CFTC change is a positive signal.

How will political ETFs affect ETH? Prediction markets could increase demand for ETH-based platforms.

What should investors pay attention to? High risk, only the winning side provides returns.