ONDO surged to the 0.28$ level with a strong 9.75% rise in the last 24 hours, testing critical resistance barriers within the overall downtrend; however, Bitcoin’s bearish signals make it essential to stay vigilant for altcoins.
Market Outlook and Current Situation
ONDO caught attention by moving in the 0.25$-0.28$ range on the daily chart, signaling a notable recovery. Trading volume reached 46.69 million dollars in 24 hours, indicating solid buying interest behind the price momentum. Although the overall trend remains downward, today’s 9.75% gain has reignited short-term investor interest. Amid a broader market rally supported by Bitcoin’s 4.69% rise, could ONDO’s performance herald an altcoin season? Or is this just a temporary bounce? Multi-timeframe analysis identified a total of 12 strong levels across 1D, 3D, and 1W periods; with 3 supports and 2 resistances standing out on 1D.
The altcoin market is being crushed under Bitcoin dominance pressure, while RWA (Real World Assets)-focused projects like ONDO are trying to differentiate with institutional interest. As the current price stabilizes around 0.28$, its position just below EMA20 maintains short-term bearish pressure. The volume increase, which can be examined in detail on ONDO spot analysis platforms, may signal a potential trend reversal. However, overall market volatility and global risk appetite will be key factors determining ONDO’s next steps. The calm news flow recently keeps technical factors in the forefront.
Since the beginning of the year, ONDO has suffered over 30% losses, but today’s move can be interpreted as a relief rally from low bottoms. As a mid-cap altcoin in terms of market value, it is becoming sensitive to liquidity flows. The sustainability of volume in upcoming sessions will clarify the trend direction.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones
The strongest support level is at 0.2611$ (confidence score 74/100), showing confluence from recent low tests on the daily chart. If breached, it could open the next critical support at 0.0647$ (62/100), representing the lower band of the long-term downtrend channel. These levels, supported by 3D and 1W periods in multi-timeframe confluences, may offer buying opportunities on potential pullbacks. On the 1D chart, 0.2611$ aligns with the Fibonacci retracement 38.2% level and forms a strong base in volume profiles.
The strength of support zones is reinforced by the 24-hour recovery, allowing traders to use these levels in stop-loss strategies. If the price fails to hold 0.2611$, panic selling could be triggered, accelerating the bearish scenario.
Resistance Barriers
The nearest resistance is at 0.2822$ (66/100), positioned just above the current price, making it the first hurdle for today’s rally. The upper resistance at 0.3096$ (63/100) forms a barrier aligned with the Supertrend indicator’s bearish signal. The weight of 4 resistance confluences on the 1W timeframe increases the difficulty of upward breaks. These levels overlap with EMA20 and previous swing highs, drawing a strong defense line.
If resistances are overcome, leveraged positions in ONDO futures could become attractive, but volume confirmation is essential. Otherwise, rejection could reignite downward momentum.
Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength
RSI at 44.70 is hovering in the neutral zone, with distance from oversold signaling short-term strengthening. Positive histogram formation in MACD points to bullish divergence, confirming underlying buying pressure. However, the overall trend is downward, and Supertrend gives a bearish signal with resistance at 0.34$. EMAs are bearishly aligned: price continues to stay below EMA20 (0.28$), confirming short-term weakness.
On multi-timeframe, 3D RSI in the 40s indicates weak trend strength, while negative 1W MACD preserves long-term bearishness. Although momentum indicators give mixed signals, volume increase supports MACD. Trend strength analysis shows a weak trend with ADX at 25, increasing the likelihood of sideways consolidation. Traders can increase bullish bias if RSI crosses above 50.
Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook
Bullish target at 0.4537$ (score 26) offers 62% potential return from current price, while bearish target at 0.0647$ (score 22) carries 77% downside risk. Although the risk/reward ratio appears balanced, downtrend confluences favor the bearish scenario. In the positive scenario, a break above 0.2822$ could lead to 0.3096$, then 0.45$; in the negative, loss of 0.2611$ triggers deep decline. With high volatility, ONDO spot market is ideal for low-risk entries.
Overall outlook is cautiously optimistic: short-term rally may continue, but volume and BTC confirmation are required for trend change. Risk management is critical; stop-losses should be placed below supports. Market uncertainty holds opportunities for long-term holders.
Bitcoin Correlation
Despite Bitcoin’s 4.69% rise to 69,754$, the overall downtrend and Supertrend bearish signal raise red flags for altcoins. ONDO shows high correlation with BTC (%0.85+), closely following BTC movements; if BTC loses 68,943$ support, ONDO’s test of 0.2611$ accelerates. BTC resistances at 70,169$, 75,162$, and 78,145$ should be monitored; a break above could trigger altcoin rally. BTC supports at 65,415$ and 60,000$ are critical; breach pushes ONDO toward bearish target. Under dominance pressure, ONDO’s independent movement space is limited; BTC trend takes priority.
This analysis uses the market views and methodology of Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal.