AVAX Technical Brief: Oversold RSI Nears Strong Support at $9.16 Amid Bearish MACD

Technical Status

AVAX trades at $10.04, down 1.18% in 24h, confirming a downtrend with price below EMA20 ($11.58), EMA50 ($12.73), and EMA200 ($19.72). Supertrend remains bearish, aligning with BTC’s downtrend (price $78,040, -0.30%). Bollinger Bands position in lower half NEAR lower band $9.50 signals potential bounce or further downside.

Key Levels

LevelPriceScoreDistance
Strong Support S1$9.1676/100 ⭐-8.76%
Strong Support S2$9.9262/100 ⭐-1.16%
Strong Resistance R1$10.1369/100 ⭐+0.90%
Strong Resistance R2$16.5462/100 ⭐+64.73%
Pivot Point$10.07-0.30%

Multi-timeframe confluences highlight $9.16 (1D/1W) and $10.13 (1D) as critical S/R. Fibonacci downtrend: 0.0 at $9.16, 0.618 at $16.54.

Indicator Check

  • RSI(14): 29.01 (oversold, watch for bullish divergence)
  • MACD: -0.84 line vs -0.63 signal (bearish histogram expanding)
  • Stochastic: 24.65/23.82 (oversold)
  • ATR: 0.71 suggests 7% daily swings

Trading View

Bearish bias persists below R1 $10.13; defend $9.92 S2 or target crash $5.91. Oversold RSI/Stoch favor dip-buy at $9.16 S1 (Fibo 0.0, Donchian low). Upside moon targets $13.97/$14.23 on R1 break. Caution: BTC Supertrend bearish pressures alts. Short-term: Fade rallies to $10.13; long setups at supports.

Market Analyst: Sarah Chen

Technical analysis and risk management specialist

This analysis is not investment advice. Do your own research.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/avax-technical-brief-oversold-rsi-strong-support-9-16-bearish-macd