ADA showed a strong recovery at the $0.30 level, recording a 7.31% rise in the last 24 hours, but it is positioned close to critical support zones within the overall downtrend. Nearby resistances at $0.3036 and $0.3168 will test buyers.
Current Price Position and Critical Levels
ADA is currently trading around $0.30 and is located in a region dominated by the downtrend in the broader market structure. On the daily timeframe, the price continues to stay below EMA20 ($0.34), giving short-term bearish signals. RSI at 32.84 is near the oversold region, indicating potential for a short-term reaction buy. The Supertrend indicator is in bearish position and highlights $0.36 resistance. In multi-timeframe analysis (1D/3D/1W), a total of 8 strong levels were identified: 2 supports/2 resistances on 1D, 1 support/2 resistances on 3D, 1 support/3 resistances on 1W confluences. The price is stuck between $0.28-$0.30, the last 24-hour range, and volume gained upward momentum at $522.21M. This position signals potential consolidation or breakout after liquidity hunting.
Support Levels: Buyer Pools
Primary Support
The strongest support zone is at $0.2685 (score: 75/100), coinciding with order blocks on 1D and 3D timeframes. This level is a demand zone tested 3 times in recent months; high-volume buyer entries were observed at each test (e.g., 15% rebound at the January 2026 bottom). It also shows confluence with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement on the 1W chart and aligns with past swing lows. If this zone breaks, downward momentum accelerates and liquidity collection begins. According to volume profile analysis, delta is positive here (buyers dominant), meaning big players are defending this level.
Secondary Support and Stop Levels
Secondary support at $0.2935 (score: 67/100), just below the current price and aligned with the last 24-hour low ($0.28). This level coincides with 1D EMA50 (around $0.292) and forms a liquidity pool targeting short-term buyers’ stop-losses. Historically rejected twice, supported by volume spikes. Invalidation level is a close below $0.2685; if broken, the next target becomes $0.1528 downside (low R/R ratio). Liquidity expected around $0.285 for stop hunting.
Resistance Levels: Seller Pools
Near-Term Resistances
Near-term first resistance at $0.3036 (score: 61/100), just above the current price and the equal high of the last pump. This zone is defined by supply imbalance (FVG) on the 1D timeframe; selling pressure increases as price approaches. In volume analysis, seller delta is dominant, with 2-3% rejects seen in recent tests. First test zone before EMA20 ($0.34) approach; volume confirmation required for breakout.
Main Resistance and Targets
Main resistance at $0.3168 (score: 68/100), confluent with strong breaker blocks on 3D and 1W timeframes. This level is reinforced by the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the November 2025 peak and multiple historical tests (rejected 4 times). Above it lies $0.36 Supertrend resistance; breakout opens upside target to $0.4310 (high R/R). This zone is a liquidity node where big players defend short positions; multi-TF confirmation (1W close above) should be awaited for breakout. Invalidation on close below $0.3036.
Liquidity Map and Big Players
Big players (smart money) are accumulating long positions at $0.2685-$0.2935 supports; this is an institutional order block and low-timeframe liquidity grab area. On the upside, short liquidity pools exist between $0.3036-$0.3168; if price rises here, reversal possible after stop hunt. On the overall map, BTC-induced weak hands liquidity has accumulated below; upside raid expected after sweeping low ($0.2685) in downtrend. Volume clusters show positive delta at supports, negative at resistances – manipulation signal. Fair value gaps (FVG) create imbalance between $0.285-$0.295, price may be drawn to them.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC at $78,461 level with 4.94% rise carried ADA upward, but BTC downtrend and Supertrend bearish – caution for altcoins. BTC key supports $76,260, $63,235, $57,300; if broken, ADA dragged to $0.2685 (high correlation ~0.85). Resistances $79,364, $82,602, $87,798; BTC above 80K triggers ADA $0.3168 breakout. Dominance increase pressures ADA, if BTC stabilizes, ADA can gain relative strength. Watch: BTC below 76K – ADA short bias.
Trading Plan and Level-Based Strategy
Level-based outlook: Bullish bias above $0.3036 (targets $0.3168-$0.4310), invalidation below $0.2935. Long setup from supports ($0.2935-$0.2685), R/R 1:3+; short from resistances. Wait for consolidation on ADA Spot Analysis, volume breakout for leverage on ADA Futures Analysis. Risk: 1-2%/stop, use MTF confluence. This outlook is price action based – markets are variable.
This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.