Truflation CPI %0.86: Rate Cut Good News for BTC

In the US, Truflation’s alternative inflation data signals a sharp cooling in prices, strengthening rate cut expectations. This stands out as a positive development for Bitcoin (BTC) and the crypto market. Truflation CPI, calculated with millions of daily price points, fell to %0,86 (previous %1,24). The core PCE index remained below the Fed’s %2 target at %1,38. Official data was December CPI %2,7 and November PCE %2,8.

Will Truflation Data Change Fed Policy?

The Fed paused rate cuts last week and provided no near-term roadmap. However, Truflation’s real-time data shows policymakers lagging behind improving inflation. According to Barchart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) closed weekly below 10+ year support; continuation means additional downside risk. Historically, a weak dollar supports risk assets like BTC.

Breaking News

• Bitcoin fell below MicroStrategy’s cost basis (76.037$) for the first time since October 2023.
• BTC fell below 80.000$ for the first time since April 2025.
• While DXY rose %0,4, BTC fell %4, gold %2,5, Nasdaq %0,8. Rumors of Walsh becoming the new Fed chair are affecting the market.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis (02.02.2026)

BTC price: 77.322$ (-4,56% 24h). RSI: 24,22 (Oversold). Trend: Downtrend, Supertrend: Bearish. EMA20: 87.301$.

• Supports: S1 75.720$ (79/100 ⭐ Strong, -2,84% distance)
• S2 64.655$ (46/100 Medium, -17% distance)
• Resistances: R1 80.371$ (69/100 ⭐ Strong, +3,13%)
• R2 84.348$ (68/100 ⭐ Strong, +8,23%)

FAQ

What is Truflation?

Truflation is a blockchain-based platform that calculates real-time CPI with millions of daily prices.

How do these data affect BTC?

Low inflation triggers Fed rate cuts; BTC rally expected with weak DXY.

Short-term BTC outlook?

RSI Oversold, 75k support strong; recovery potential exists.

Key Points

• Truflation CPI %0,86: Lower than official data.
• DXY broke support: Bullish for risk assets.
• BTC oversold at 77k; 75k critical support.

Conclusion: Inflation cooling is an opportunity for crypto, but monitor Fed steps. Weak dollar could ignite the rally.