HBAR Technical Analysis Jan 29

Today’s short-term outlook and key levels to watch

Short-Term Market Outlook

HBAR is trading at $0.11 as of January 28, 2026, recording a slight decline of -1.16% in the last 24 hours. Intraday range is narrow ($0.11 – $0.11) and volume is at a medium level of $65.12M. Short-term trend is downward; price is positioned below EMA20 ($0.11) and Supertrend is giving a bearish signal. RSI at 48.73 is in neutral territory, but MACD histogram is positive and indicates mild bullish momentum. 14 strong levels detected in primary timeframes (1D/3D/1W): balanced distribution in supports and resistances (1D: 2S/3R, 3D: 2S/3R, 1W: 2S/3R). Consolidation dominant for the next 24-48 hours, but breakout direction will be decisive. News flow is calm, so technical levels take precedence.

Intraday Critical Levels

Nearby Support Zones

Immediate support at $0.1060 (strength score: 73/100), this is the first test point and critical for quick scalp opportunities. Second support $0.1046 (69/100), if it holds, reaction buying may come. Deeper $0.1010 (66/100) level should be monitored for quick invalidation – if broken, downward momentum accelerates. These levels are strongly volume-based on 1H-4H charts.

Nearby Resistance Zones

Closest resistance $0.1080 (87/100, very strong), selling pressure may increase as price approaches here. Second $0.1094 (73/100), its breakout opens upside targets. Long-term $0.1220 (63/100) is distant for now, but to be watched in a quick rally. These resistances overlap with EMA20, providing tight stop-loss points for short-term traders.

Momentum and Speed Analysis

Short-term momentum is mixed: RSI neutral (48.73), no overbought/oversold, so risk of sudden breakout is low. MACD shows mild bullish divergence with positive histogram, but Supertrend is bearish and trend is down. Speed analysis: Intraday volatility low (0%), 2-4% move expected in 24-48 hours. Momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) support upside breakout, but EMA position maintains bearish bias. For scalpers, speed test around $0.1080 is critical – if it accelerates with positive volume, long bias increases.

Short-Term Scenarios

Upside Scenario

If it breaks $0.1080 resistance with clear volume (invalidation: close below $0.1060), first target is $0.1094. Continuation could extend to $0.1154 (upside score:19), with 4-5% gain potential within 24 hours. Trigger: MACD line crosses above signal line and RSI reaches 55+. Risk: BTC weakness spoils the scenario. For short-term swing longs, wait for confirmation above $0.1080, stop at $0.1065.

Downside Scenario

If $0.1060 support breaks (invalidation: close above $0.1080), quick test to $0.1046, then $0.1010 downside target (score:22). 7-8% drop possible in 48 hours, supported by bearish Supertrend. Trigger: RSI drops below 45 with volume increase and EMA20 breaks down. Ideal for high-risk short scalps, but BTC support hold could trigger a rally. Stop $0.1075, limit capital risk to 1-2%.

Bitcoin Correlation

HBAR is highly correlated with BTC (0.85+%); BTC is sideways at $89,295 but Supertrend bearish, cautious for altcoins. If BTC loses $88,472 support, HBAR $0.1060 breakdown accelerates. Conversely, if BTC breaks $90,259 resistance, HBAR upside to $0.1094 triggers. If BTC dominance increases (currently stable), HBAR remains under pressure. Key BTC levels: Support $88,472/$87,393, Resistance $90,259. HBAR traders should monitor BTC 1H chart in parallel – details for HBAR Spot Analysis and HBAR Futures Analysis.

Daily Summary and Monitoring Points

Today (January 28, 2026) focus for HBAR: $0.1060 support and $0.1080 resistance breakouts. Upside scenario dominant with MACD positivity, downside with bearish Supertrend. Expect narrow range in 24-48 hours, volatility increase brings breakout. Monitoring: 1) Volume test at $0.1080, 2) BTC $88,472 movement, 3) RSI 50 crossover. Short-term trades are high risk – always follow 1% risk rule, use quick invalidations. Keep stop-losses tight, avoid emotional trading.