Internet Computer rallies 12% – But THESE levels still stand in ICP’s way

Internet Computer’s ICP token extended one of its strongest rallies in recent weeks as technical momentum turned decisively bullish.

The altcoin has gained 12% over the period, following a $243 million increase in market capitalization, which stood at approximately $1.95 billion at press time. Momentum remained tilted upward, although several overhead barriers still pose a risk to an uninterrupted price run.

Breakout signals potential move toward $5

Internet Computer [ICP] broke above a descending trendline that had capped price action for over two months. Such breaks often marked early trend reversals during prior market cycles.

That move reopened the path toward the trendline’s origin near $5.30, based on historical price behavior. Even so, upside continuation still faced layered supply zones along the way.

The Liquidation Heatmap showed the nearest resistance clustered around $3.78. Beyond that, the $4.34 zone emerged as the next area where selling pressure could intensify.

Source: TradingView

The Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) indicator placed its dots below the price, a structure that points to ongoing bullish momentum.

This positioning indicated that buying pressure remained dominant and suggests that ICP could push into the $3.78 region, potentially forcing liquidations and accelerating the move.

As long as the SAR structure remains intact, buyers retain control of the short-term trend.

Accumulation builds, but distribution lingers

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which tracks buying and selling pressure using volume over a set period, showed improving capital inflows during recent sessions. On the 20-day setting, CMF printed 0.19, its highest reading since early November.

Positive CMF readings typically indicated buyers dominated volume flows. That suggested demand strengthened during the breakout phase.

Source: TradingView

However, the Accumulation/Distribution indicator painted a more cautious picture.

While it had started to slope upward, it remained in negative territory at -44.59 million. This means that although buying has picked up in recent sessions, it has not yet outweighed the broader selling pressure seen over time.

In practical terms, this implies that sellers are still present and that the market has not fully transitioned into a clean accumulation phase. Until the indicator moves decisively into positive territory, the risk of rejection or consolidation remains.

Market sentiment turns firmly bullish

Community Sentiment data showed 73.68% of participants held a bullish view on ICP as of the 14th of January. Sentiment trends often reflected confidence rather than immediate capital deployment.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Of course, positive sentiment reinforced the breakout narrative but did not remove technical hurdles ahead. Price acceptance above $3.78 remained key for follow-through toward higher resistance levels.

ICP now sat at a critical decision zone. The breakout favored buyers, but overhead resistance and lingering distribution could still test momentum before any sustained push toward $5.

Final Thoughts

• ICP’s breakout reset short-term structure, but the rally now depended on whether demand could absorb the overhead supply.
• Improving momentum favored buyers, though unresolved distribution suggested caution remained warranted.