BNB price targets $800, 200 MA rejects upward attempts

BNB price weakens as repeated rejections of the 200 MA push it lower, increasing the probability of a deeper rotation toward the value-area low and the $800 support region.

Binance (BNB) price is facing intensified downside pressure after yet another rejection from the 200-day moving average, a key dynamic resistance that continues to cap every bullish attempt. With the broader structure weakening and price trading back below major volume-profile levels, BNB is now showing signs of a deeper corrective rotation.

Unless bulls reclaim critical regions soon, the path toward $800 appears increasingly probable as momentum remains firmly in favor of sellers.

BNB price key technical points

• BNB repeatedly rejected at the 200-day moving average, signalling persistent bearish momentum.
• Loss of the Value Area High and Point of Control confirms a shift toward lower-range pricing.
• $800 emerges as the next major support level, aligned with the higher-time-frame structure and liquidity buildup.

BNB’s technical landscape has continued to deteriorate following its failure to break above the 200-day moving average. This dynamic level has served as a strong resistance barrier across several consecutive attempts, each producing sharp rejections. The most recent rejection was accompanied by an impulsive bearish engulfing candle, reinforcing the dominance of sellers at this region and highlighting the lack of bullish conviction.

This rejection has also resulted in the loss of the Point of Control (POC), the highest-volume price level within the current market range. When price breaks below the POC, it signals a shift away from equilibrium and often precedes directional continuation. In BNB’s case, this continuation points lower, toward the Value Area Low (VAL) and eventually the high-time-frame support at $800.

The broader structure further supports a bearish outlook. Since losing the Value Area High weeks ago, BNB has struggled to regain a sustainable bullish structure. Instead, the downtrend has remained intact, characterized by lower highs, failed breakouts, and persistent rejections at major moving averages. The inability to regain these broken structures reinforces the idea that sellers remain firmly in control.

Adding to this pressure is the unresolved liquidity buildup, resting below current price levels. Markets typically seek out such liquidity pockets, and BNB’s decline back below the POC increases the probability of a full market rotation, a move from Value Area High to Value Area Low as dictated by auction-market theory. This rotation suggests the market is rebalancing, testing lower prices until sufficient demand re-emerges.

From a technical perspective, the 200 MA continues to play the decisive role. Each attempt to break above it has produced not only rejections but aggressive downward momentum. This underscores a strong bearish reaction zone and proves that BNB lacks the strength to reclaim higher territory without significant volume and structural change.

As long as the price remains below this moving average and below the POC, bearish continuation remains the more probable scenario, especially as broader momentum narratives, such as XRP and BNB aiming for a combined $200 billion milestone, highlight growing market expectations despite current structural weakness.

What to expect in the coming price action

BNB is likely to remain below its 200 MA unless bulls reclaim it and recover the POC. Failure to do so increases the probability of a full rotation to the Value Area Low and a retest of the $800 support level. A bounce is possible there, but until structural levels are broken to the upside, bearish control remains dominant.