TLDR:
- QT’s end revives comparisons to 2019 and 2021, when altcoins accelerated as liquidity returned to the market.
- Institutional involvement, regulation, and tokenization trends add new variables absent in previous altcoin cycles.
- Total market cap reclaiming the EMA 200 renews trader focus on long-term structures shaping altcoin performance.
- A falling wedge forming since summer signals a potential breakout as traders assess the next market direction.
The crypto market is entering a new phase as traders evaluate the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT).
Early reactions indicate increased attention on altcoins, especially as past cycles showed strong rallies shortly after QT periods concluded. Market participants are now weighing whether 2025 could follow a similar structure or introduce a new pattern as conditions evolve.
Recent commentary from analysts shows the sector operating in a very different environment than earlier cycles.
More regulation, stronger institutional presence, and expanding government interest in tokenization are reshaping expectations for what an altcoin rotation may look like.
QT’s End Sparks Fresh Attention on Historical Altcoin Behavior
Analyst Blade noted that QT has officially ended, reminding traders that previous cycles—2019 and 2021—recorded sharp altcoin acceleration once QT pressure eased.
The altcoin market benefitted during those periods as liquidity improved and speculative trading increased. Now, with QT lifted again, the question is whether the market can replicate that rhythm despite expanded token supply and thinner liquidity across many assets.
Blade observed that the landscape has changed considerably. Thousands of additional tokens exist today, many lacking strong narratives or functioning products.
This creates a crowded environment where capital may rotate more selectively. Even so, the altcoin market continues to draw attention as traders analyze which sectors could capture renewed momentum.
He also pointed to the broader structural changes shaping the altcoin market.
Governments are moving into tokenization, banks are building on Ethereum, and major institutions are watching the sector more closely. These developments suggest growing involvement that may influence how a potential 2025 altcoin cycle forms.
Technical Signals Strengthen as Marketcap Reclaims EMA 200
Another analyst, Moustache, added that the total crypto market cap has reclaimed the EMA 200, a technical level linked to trend reversals in earlier years.
Bullish facts about crypto:
-The Totalmarketcap just reclaimed the EMA 200 line
In the past, a touch of this line has led to a market reversal several times.
And then there is a falling wedge that has been forming since summer.
It's about to break out. pic.twitter.com/4JV0i6wIqp
— 𝕄𝕠𝕦𝕤𝕥𝕒𝕔ⓗ𝕖
(@el_crypto_prof) December 7, 2025
Traders tracking macro indicators often view this reclaim as a sign that the altcoin market may be forming a stronger base. The shift is drawing renewed interest as participants follow long-term structures.
He mentioned that a falling wedge pattern has been forming since summer, and it appears close to breaking out.
Such formations tend to attract market watchers, especially when broader conditions begin aligning. For the altcoin market, this adds another layer to the ongoing discussion around market timing.
Together, these observations present a landscape shaped by both historical patterns and new structural forces.
The altcoin market has previously surged after QT, but 2025 offers a different environment, leading traders to evaluate whether past behavior can repeat in a maturing and increasingly institutional market.
The post History Shows Altcoins Surge After QT Lifts: Will 2025 Repeat the Pattern? appeared first on Blockonomi.
Source: https://blockonomi.com/history-shows-altcoins-surge-after-qt-lifts-will-2025-repeat-the-pattern/