Macro Forces Drive Bitcoin Price Recovery For $100,000 Breakout 

• The Bitcoin price is 2% short of challenging the key resistance trendline of the falling channel pattern.
• Macroeconomic indicators, including a halt in quantitative tightening and a drop in ADP employment numbers, are bolstering market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
• The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has returned to 48%, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market

The pioneer cryptocurrency Bitcoin jumped 2.53% during Wednesday’s U.S. market session to trade at $93,626. The buying pressure is likely to accelerate, along with investors’ expectations for a potential rate cut during the December FOMC meeting, after a surprise decline in the ADP Employment Report. The rising Bitcoin price is poised for a potential breakout from the key resistance trendline, signalling an opportunity for continued recovery ahead.

BTC Rebounds on Fed Liquidity Shift as Weak Jobs Data Fuels Rate-Cut Bet

In the last two days, the Bitcoin price witnessed a sharp rebound from $86,190 to $93,486, registering an 8.45% jump. The upswing was initiated as the Federal Reserve halted quantitative tightening on December 1 and began expanding liquidity, reversing a 2025 policy that drained $3.2T from markets.

Momentum continued into the current day after the release of the ADP Employment Report, which revealed an unexpected drop of 32,000 positions in the private workforce for November 2025. This number was well below predictions that called for an addition of 10,000 jobs. Data from ADP itself supported this downturn, and a chart from Bloomberg showed the precipitous decline in the context of slowing employment growth that has been ongoing since the middle of 2025.

Such underwhelming employment figures have strengthened expectations around adjustments in Federal Reserve policy. Financial markets are currently pricing in an 89% chance of a quarter-point cut in interest rates at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting scheduled for December 18th. This possible move might help to ease financial conditions to support wider economic operations.

Even with this upward movement in prices, the amount of new investments has fallen substantially over the past seven days, down over 50%, from $15 billion to $6.85 billion. 

This data shared by analyst Ali Martinez points to the fact that the recent surge is likely driven by macroeconomic news rather than repositioning by existing holders or fresh capital inflow.

This creates a cautious approach among investors, making the on-chain rally fragile and vulnerable to losing momentum if the trend continues.

Bitcoin Price 2% Short From Exit Ongoing Correction Trend

The ongoing correction trend in Bitcoin price has recently stabilized above the $84,000 mark. In the last two weeks, the coin price shows a notable recovery from an $80,537 low to the current trading price of $93,087, registering a 15.58% surge. 

This upswing also created a fresh high-level formation in the daily chart, accentuating a change in market dynamics. The momentum indicator RSI supports the bullish thesis as its slope surges from the bearish to the neutral region, currently wavering at 48%. 

With sustained buying, the coin price would jump another 2% to challenge the upper boundary of the falling channel pattern. Since October 2025, the two downsloping trendlines as dynamic resistance and support have been carrying a steady downtrend in Bitcoin price. 

Therefore, a potential breakout will strengthen the buyer’s conviction for an extended recovery above $100,000. 

On the contrary, if sellers continue to defend the overhead trendline, the price could revert lower and prolong the current correction trend.

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